WEBVTT Kind: captions Language: en 00:00:07.420 --> 00:00:09.420 Good morning, everyone. 00:00:09.420 --> 00:00:11.500 Thank you for -- thank you for coming out today. 00:00:11.500 --> 00:00:16.450 To begin with, Susan has asked that I remind everyone 00:00:16.450 --> 00:00:21.420 that ShakeOut is coming October 15th, 10:15 a.m. 00:00:21.420 --> 00:00:23.740 The festivities will include dropping, covering, 00:00:23.740 --> 00:00:26.880 and holding on, followed by evacuating our buildings. 00:00:26.880 --> 00:00:30.560 [laughs] Look forward to it. 00:00:30.560 --> 00:00:34.080 Next week, Wednesday, October 14th, 10:30 a.m., 00:00:34.090 --> 00:00:38.050 our speaker will be someone you’re very familiar with, Jeanne Hardebeck. 00:00:38.050 --> 00:00:41.089 She will be discussing stress orientations in subduction zones 00:00:41.089 --> 00:00:44.449 and the strength of subduction megathrust faults. 00:00:44.449 --> 00:00:48.620 But today, from UC-Santa Cruz, we have Emily Brodsky, 00:00:48.620 --> 00:00:50.890 who will be presenting Constraints from Fault Roughness 00:00:50.890 --> 00:00:53.610 on Scale-Dependent Strength of Rocks. 00:00:53.610 --> 00:00:57.290 Emily studies earthquakes and is faculty at UC-Santa Cruz. 00:00:57.290 --> 00:00:59.610 She originally got her bachelor’s from Harvard and her 00:00:59.610 --> 00:01:02.600 Ph.D. from Caltech working with Hiroo Kanamori. 00:01:02.600 --> 00:01:05.299 And amongst many other honors, she has received the Richter Award 00:01:05.299 --> 00:01:08.630 from the Seismological Society and the Macelwane Medal from AGU. 00:01:08.630 --> 00:01:12.310 So please let’s give Emily a warm welcome. 00:01:12.310 --> 00:01:15.490 [ Applause ] 00:01:17.380 --> 00:01:21.640 - Is that on? Hey, folks. 00:01:21.650 --> 00:01:26.470 So nice to be back here. 00:01:26.470 --> 00:01:30.560 You really are all going to sit back there. [laughter] 00:01:30.560 --> 00:01:34.490 I could fit an entire class between me and you. 00:01:34.490 --> 00:01:36.219 All right. We’ll do it. 00:01:36.219 --> 00:01:38.299 - We’ve got hard questions. Don't worry. 00:01:38.299 --> 00:01:39.340 - All right, good. 00:01:39.340 --> 00:01:45.140 And of course, I think I know most of you, but I don't mind being 00:01:45.140 --> 00:01:54.220 interrupted for questions whenever. This should be more of a conversation. 00:01:54.220 --> 00:01:59.250 I'm going to talk today about Inferring Strength of Rocks from Fault Roughness. 00:01:59.250 --> 00:02:03.020 And that’s a title that might not even make sense right now. 00:02:03.020 --> 00:02:05.409 How do you use the roughness of faults 00:02:05.409 --> 00:02:09.140 to say anything about the strength of rocks? 00:02:09.140 --> 00:02:13.680 This is a subject that I've been partnering with Thibault Candela 00:02:13.680 --> 00:02:18.890 and Jamie Kirkpatrick, both of whom used to be post-docs at Santa Cruz 00:02:18.890 --> 00:02:22.170 and have moved on to greener pastures in -- 00:02:22.170 --> 00:02:28.980 Thibault is now in the Netherlands at TNO, and Jamie’s at McGill. 00:02:28.980 --> 00:02:33.370 And the three of us have been thinking a lot about how to measure fault roughness 00:02:33.370 --> 00:02:36.670 and what it can tell us about something as fundamental 00:02:36.670 --> 00:02:42.069 as the strength of rocks -- one of the big quantities we need to know 00:02:42.069 --> 00:02:46.529 to have a first principle understanding of earthquakes. 00:02:48.260 --> 00:02:55.819 So the story really begins about a decade ago when another former 00:02:55.819 --> 00:03:03.770 post-doc and I -- Amir Sagy and I started measuring fault service geometry. 00:03:03.770 --> 00:03:08.940 We would go out to -- oh, I got to use this mouse thing. 00:03:08.940 --> 00:03:11.880 We would go out to expose faults, mainly in quarries. 00:03:11.880 --> 00:03:18.080 It’s a very common process to quarry, for instance, 00:03:18.080 --> 00:03:20.390 gravels until you hit a hard surface. 00:03:20.390 --> 00:03:24.090 And that exposed surface, very often, is a fault plane 00:03:24.090 --> 00:03:27.220 in certain parts of the world. 00:03:27.220 --> 00:03:30.280 And so here is a fault plane that is -- 00:03:30.280 --> 00:03:32.940 Oh, that was exciting. 00:03:32.950 --> 00:03:35.340 So much for me using the little pointer thing. 00:03:35.340 --> 00:03:38.560 I’m going to -- what happened? 00:03:38.560 --> 00:03:40.680 Oh, we’ll hit escape. 00:03:40.680 --> 00:03:42.379 - Brand-new. - That’s why we [inaudible] . . . 00:03:42.379 --> 00:03:46.640 - Oh, there we go. We’re back. We’re good. 00:03:46.640 --> 00:03:49.030 That was fun. - Woo hoo! 00:03:49.030 --> 00:03:52.319 - And so I hope that wasn’t too distracting. 00:03:52.319 --> 00:03:57.150 This here is a fault surface -- this relatively smooth, shiny surface. 00:03:57.150 --> 00:04:00.629 And this is kind of an interesting picture where you can look up 00:04:00.629 --> 00:04:02.599 at the fault surface, and at the same time, 00:04:02.599 --> 00:04:06.459 see the cross-section of the fault zone beneath it. 00:04:06.459 --> 00:04:10.300 And so we went out to surfaces like this one, and this -- 00:04:10.300 --> 00:04:15.390 which is in Oregon, and this one, which is in Italy. 00:04:15.390 --> 00:04:19.150 So we went all over the world, and we brought with us 00:04:19.150 --> 00:04:26.939 our handy ground-based LiDAR, which is a laser-ranging instrument 00:04:26.939 --> 00:04:31.849 that collects -- that sends out a laser, measures the time of flight, 00:04:31.849 --> 00:04:39.430 and then scans that laser so that we can collect a point cloud of data with, 00:04:39.430 --> 00:04:45.330 in optimal conditions, as much as 3- to 4-millimeter resolution. 00:04:45.330 --> 00:04:48.719 And so we walk up to a fault, and we walk away with a data set 00:04:48.719 --> 00:04:53.039 that looks something like this, where that square -- that rectangle 00:04:53.039 --> 00:05:01.479 on this -- on the photograph has become the data you see in the bottom panel. 00:05:01.479 --> 00:05:04.729 Okay. And at the time, 00:05:04.729 --> 00:05:09.210 I remember lots of people asking us why are we measuring 00:05:09.210 --> 00:05:11.430 the topography of fault surfaces? 00:05:11.430 --> 00:05:14.419 Why do we want to know the roughness of fault surfaces? 00:05:14.419 --> 00:05:22.369 And I have to say, Amir and I kind of flubbed that question an awful lot. 00:05:22.369 --> 00:05:26.020 We knew that this was the surface on which 00:05:26.020 --> 00:05:28.879 much of the slip of earthquakes happen. 00:05:28.879 --> 00:05:32.759 And so we thought that there must be some sort of fingerprint 00:05:32.759 --> 00:05:36.129 of the processes controlling slip on the surface. 00:05:36.129 --> 00:05:39.210 We weren't quite sure what we were looking at. 00:05:39.210 --> 00:05:43.520 We were also clear that, since this was a failure surface, 00:05:43.520 --> 00:05:49.129 there must be some sort of information of strength in there somewhere. 00:05:49.129 --> 00:05:53.039 That’s the process that makes the surface, right? 00:05:53.039 --> 00:05:58.539 But I’m not sure we had a very well-articulated answer beyond that. 00:05:58.539 --> 00:06:00.499 So it was a little bit of a fishing expedition. 00:06:00.500 --> 00:06:04.580 That’s sometimes how science works. 00:06:04.580 --> 00:06:11.699 And so when we went fishing, we came back with this. 00:06:11.699 --> 00:06:19.879 What you’re looking at is power spectra of fault surface topography 00:06:19.879 --> 00:06:23.680 in the direction parallel to slip. 00:06:23.680 --> 00:06:28.020 So the basic issue in looking at fault surfaces 00:06:28.020 --> 00:06:32.089 is that faults are rough at all scales. 00:06:32.089 --> 00:06:36.029 And therefore, if you wanted to come up with some sort of measure 00:06:36.029 --> 00:06:39.699 of roughness, you need to do it in a scale-dependent way. 00:06:39.699 --> 00:06:44.759 To think about that a little bit, you can look at this little cartoon here 00:06:44.759 --> 00:06:49.899 for a single line, a profile, along a fault surface. 00:06:49.899 --> 00:06:54.460 Say H is schematically the average deviation -- 00:06:54.460 --> 00:06:57.800 the average asperity height from a best-fit line. 00:06:57.800 --> 00:07:04.319 And L is the scale of observation of this little blue cartoon. 00:07:04.319 --> 00:07:07.860 If we had taken a smaller scale of observation, say this little chunk 00:07:07.860 --> 00:07:14.339 right here, and did a best-fit line, H would have been much smaller, right? 00:07:14.339 --> 00:07:18.219 So the RMS roughness, H, the average asperity height, 00:07:18.219 --> 00:07:22.319 is a function of scale -- of observation scale, L. 00:07:22.319 --> 00:07:26.279 And that’s critically important in thinking about fault roughness. 00:07:26.279 --> 00:07:29.849 Since we have things that are -- we have a measurement that has 00:07:29.849 --> 00:07:33.719 a scale-dependent feature, we don't really want to talk about 00:07:33.719 --> 00:07:36.399 just average asperity height anymore, therefore. 00:07:36.399 --> 00:07:39.919 We don't want to say the average roughness of this fault is 1 centimeter. 00:07:39.919 --> 00:07:41.729 That wouldn't make any sense. 00:07:41.729 --> 00:07:47.479 You'd have to say the average roughness at a meter of observation is 1 centimeter. 00:07:47.479 --> 00:07:54.259 And if you want to capture all of the information in the topographic map, 00:07:54.259 --> 00:07:59.629 it might make sense to do a Fourier analysis. 00:07:59.629 --> 00:08:09.740 That is to break up the signal into its various wavelength components 00:08:09.740 --> 00:08:13.659 and look at the power of the topographic signal as a 00:08:13.659 --> 00:08:20.149 function of wavelength, just like we often do for earthquakes. 00:08:20.149 --> 00:08:25.879 And so what you’re looking at here is a Fourier transforms 00:08:25.879 --> 00:08:28.919 of profiles in the along-slip direction. 00:08:28.919 --> 00:08:36.060 And then all of those spectra average together 00:08:36.060 --> 00:08:40.300 for at least 500 profiles for each fault. 00:08:40.300 --> 00:08:44.210 And because we have lots of data for each fault, we can do this 00:08:44.210 --> 00:08:47.760 averaging operation that results in very smooth spectral estimations. 00:08:47.760 --> 00:08:51.190 These are probably much smoother than you’re used to seeing, 00:08:51.190 --> 00:08:55.190 say, source spectra at earthquake. 00:08:55.190 --> 00:09:02.580 And -- okay, and since power spectral density is a function of wavelength 00:09:02.580 --> 00:09:07.280 might not be the most obvious thing to sort of get your head around, 00:09:07.280 --> 00:09:15.580 I have for reference here, as a dashed line right here, 00:09:15.580 --> 00:09:18.550 the line of what the power spectral density would be 00:09:18.550 --> 00:09:24.410 if the asperity height is 1% -- 0.01 of the observation scale at all scales. 00:09:24.410 --> 00:09:29.090 A [inaudible] surface with a constant aspect ratio -- 00:09:29.090 --> 00:09:32.410 a constant ratio of H over L. 00:09:34.720 --> 00:09:36.980 It’s a useful reference line. 00:09:36.980 --> 00:09:40.520 As we will see later in the talk, it’s more than a useful reference line. 00:09:40.520 --> 00:09:44.860 It turns out to be quite fundamental. 00:09:44.870 --> 00:09:49.650 And what you see in this data -- what we saw, at least in our first pass through the 00:09:49.650 --> 00:10:01.770 data, is that a lot of the faults cluster near that 1% line, at least at the field scales. 00:10:05.020 --> 00:10:09.120 This is the scale of -- at which we have observations with LiDAR. 00:10:09.120 --> 00:10:13.460 Down here are laboratory measurements on hand samples. 00:10:13.460 --> 00:10:16.320 More about them later. 00:10:16.320 --> 00:10:21.020 And I’ll -- for faults that have not slipped enough -- a lot -- 00:10:21.020 --> 00:10:28.180 and in this -- in this particular study, not -- immature, not slipping a lot, 00:10:28.180 --> 00:10:31.320 was much less than 100 meters. 00:10:31.320 --> 00:10:44.360 So we had the lines clustering quite closely next to the 1% line. 00:10:44.360 --> 00:10:48.140 And then there was a population of faults 00:10:48.150 --> 00:10:53.630 that had slipped a lot that were somewhat smoother. 00:10:54.320 --> 00:10:56.320 And ... 00:10:58.460 --> 00:11:00.820 ...that was our first take on it. 00:11:00.830 --> 00:11:03.730 And I was sort of excited at this point because, you know, here we were 00:11:03.730 --> 00:11:07.490 in this fishing expedition, and we were getting some systematics. 00:11:07.490 --> 00:11:10.180 And thought, oh, we’re going to be able to figure out the displacement 00:11:10.180 --> 00:11:13.660 and offset of faults by looking at the roughness of their surfaces. 00:11:13.660 --> 00:11:18.870 And that’s going to be a neat way to sort of work out the history 00:11:18.870 --> 00:11:20.630 and geological history of faults. 00:11:20.630 --> 00:11:24.510 That’s what I -- where I thought this project was going. 00:11:24.510 --> 00:11:27.420 So I tried to do that. 00:11:27.420 --> 00:11:31.690 And it didn't work out all that well. 00:11:31.690 --> 00:11:36.450 What is here is an expanded data set from the original paper 00:11:36.450 --> 00:11:42.240 where I got more faults with a greater variety of displacements. 00:11:42.240 --> 00:11:47.900 And what we see is that -- here I am showing you an average asperity height 00:11:47.900 --> 00:11:50.450 at a reference wavelength, just so we have a single number 00:11:50.450 --> 00:11:55.240 to compare at different faults -- in this case, at 1/2 a meter. 00:11:55.240 --> 00:11:59.750 And what we see is, as a function of total offset on the fault, yes, 00:11:59.750 --> 00:12:05.090 the more mature faults, the ones that have slipped more, as a population, 00:12:05.090 --> 00:12:08.200 have -- are smoother than the ones that haven't slipped all that much. 00:12:08.200 --> 00:12:11.820 But, wow, is that a small variation. 00:12:11.820 --> 00:12:15.040 I mean, if you were really, really ambitious, 00:12:15.040 --> 00:12:20.340 you might try to fit a straight line in this long, linear -- long, long plot. 00:12:20.340 --> 00:12:24.470 And you'd get a tiny little exponent of minus 1/10th. 00:12:24.470 --> 00:12:30.070 But that’s -- what that’s really telling you is this is a very weak trend. 00:12:30.070 --> 00:12:33.040 And once you get to the high slip, you know, any kind of slip 00:12:33.040 --> 00:12:37.290 that we would normally care about on an earthquake fault that 00:12:37.290 --> 00:12:44.780 has mappable earthquakes, there really wasn't any trend in the data. 00:12:44.780 --> 00:12:48.100 Huh. Well, that was interesting. 00:12:48.100 --> 00:12:52.000 So then, back to the drawing board. 00:12:52.010 --> 00:12:56.540 Faults are -- so faults are smoothing gradually during slip 00:12:56.540 --> 00:13:01.510 rather than continually or in any catastrophic way. 00:13:01.510 --> 00:13:06.760 And so back to the drawing board. Let’s look again at our full data set. 00:13:06.760 --> 00:13:11.100 And at this point, our full data set now includes 22 faults. 00:13:11.100 --> 00:13:15.480 Each of those faults mainly are those little light blue lines 00:13:15.480 --> 00:13:16.880 you see -- the light blue, thin lines. 00:13:16.880 --> 00:13:20.100 And then a couple of those -- three of those faults we have highlighted 00:13:20.100 --> 00:13:24.760 as the thicker colored lines just so you can see how data matches up 00:13:24.760 --> 00:13:32.180 for a single fault, just to be able to kind of get the systematics of individuals. 00:13:33.980 --> 00:13:39.820 And what we noticed about this data is that 00:13:39.820 --> 00:13:44.880 all 22 faults seem to have roughness in this incredibly narrow range. 00:13:44.880 --> 00:13:56.450 At field scale, say 1 meter -- at 1 meter, we have roughness between 0.1% 00:13:56.450 --> 00:14:07.400 and 1% at most of -- a little bit less than 1% of aspect ratios, okay? 00:14:07.400 --> 00:14:14.560 Again, the red lines are for reference -- are what you would get 00:14:14.560 --> 00:14:20.370 in power spectra if the aspect ratio, H over L, average height 00:14:20.370 --> 00:14:23.720 over observation scale, is constant. 00:14:23.720 --> 00:14:31.500 Okay, so data is telling us that fault roughness is very restricted. 00:14:31.500 --> 00:14:34.080 Surprisingly restricted. 00:14:34.080 --> 00:14:39.260 And that’s good news for people who just want to empirically use this data. 00:14:39.260 --> 00:14:43.540 And we do actually have end users of this data set. 00:14:43.540 --> 00:14:45.550 Even though we went out there on this fishing expedition, 00:14:45.550 --> 00:14:53.180 it turns out that we found a customer base that -- numerical modelers 00:14:53.180 --> 00:14:58.330 who are interested in doing things like predicting strong ground motion 00:14:58.330 --> 00:15:08.290 have used our measurements of fault roughness to make rough faults into -- 00:15:08.290 --> 00:15:12.900 and dynamically rupture those faults and then predict the seismic waves 00:15:12.900 --> 00:15:15.110 that come off those faults. 00:15:15.110 --> 00:15:21.060 And what they find is they can make -- well, “they” being, in this case, 00:15:21.060 --> 00:15:27.520 Eric Dunham and his students have found that they can make realistic 00:15:27.520 --> 00:15:33.470 high-frequency strong ground shaking by using realistic roughness on faults. 00:15:33.470 --> 00:15:41.320 That using these 1% to 0.1% aspect ratios, here he’s calling alpha, 00:15:41.320 --> 00:15:47.710 the aspect ratio, corresponds to realistic strong ground motion. 00:15:47.710 --> 00:15:57.380 So this is -- again, so this is an end user who is assuming 00:15:57.380 --> 00:16:01.960 that the range of roughnesses that we measure does capture the range 00:16:01.960 --> 00:16:05.490 of the real earth and is able to make realistic-looking seismograms. 00:16:05.490 --> 00:16:08.380 And if you think about it in reverse, it also is a little bit of confirmation, 00:16:08.380 --> 00:16:12.589 maybe, that we really do have this very restricted range of roughnesses 00:16:12.589 --> 00:16:17.040 in the earth if this is an accurate explanation for strong ground motion. 00:16:17.040 --> 00:16:23.640 Okay. So that’s observation number one, really. 00:16:28.750 --> 00:16:35.839 Looking at the data again, you may also notice that 00:16:35.839 --> 00:16:40.660 the slope of these spectras is not actually a constant aspect ratio. 00:16:40.660 --> 00:16:43.589 It is somewhat shallower. 00:16:43.589 --> 00:16:55.880 The best-fit slope would be for a X -- if the average height went 00:16:55.880 --> 00:17:03.170 as length scale to the 0.6 -- so, in other words, if you put -- 00:17:03.170 --> 00:17:08.260 instead of H over L, H over L to the 0.6 as constant -- 00:17:08.260 --> 00:17:12.019 I’m not sure you should get that excited about exactly what that exponent is, 00:17:12.019 --> 00:17:18.740 but the main point I’m trying to make here is that those are shallower slopes, 00:17:18.740 --> 00:17:25.920 and they cross over the red lines of constant aspect ratios. 00:17:25.920 --> 00:17:29.840 And just to make sure this isn't some funky artifact of doing things 00:17:29.840 --> 00:17:37.639 in spectral space, let’s think about what this means in the spatial domain. 00:17:37.639 --> 00:17:41.580 So what this would mean in the spatial domain 00:17:41.580 --> 00:17:48.129 is that aspect ratio is smaller for larger wavelengths -- larger scales. 00:17:48.129 --> 00:17:51.659 And at smaller scales the mountains get steeper. 00:17:51.659 --> 00:17:55.179 The very big mountains on the surface of the fault -- 00:17:55.179 --> 00:17:58.939 not so big, but they do get steeper. 00:17:58.940 --> 00:18:01.800 And that is, in fact, what we see in the spatial domain. 00:18:01.809 --> 00:18:06.090 If we sit there and look at individual profiles and zoom in, 00:18:06.090 --> 00:18:10.080 we do see that the aspect ratio measured in the spatial domain 00:18:10.080 --> 00:18:13.129 does increase with decreasing scale. 00:18:13.129 --> 00:18:17.089 So we’re not deluding ourselves in spectral space. 00:18:22.850 --> 00:18:27.220 So that’s interesting. Aspect ratio increases with decreasing scale. 00:18:27.220 --> 00:18:29.869 And that seems to be a pretty robust observation. 00:18:29.869 --> 00:18:36.259 And, you know, it even looks like you get some sort of consistent scaling 00:18:36.259 --> 00:18:40.879 with at least a best-fit line over a large range of scales here -- 00:18:40.879 --> 00:18:44.049 scales from millimeters to tens of meters. 00:18:44.049 --> 00:18:52.580 And that’s a little surprising, I think, to a geologist because -- you know, 00:18:52.580 --> 00:18:55.440 if you actually go out and look at a fault surface, there are lots of different 00:18:55.440 --> 00:18:59.470 processes happening at these different scales on fault surfaces. 00:18:59.470 --> 00:19:04.710 You can look at, you know, the millimeter scale, and you can see grain 00:19:04.710 --> 00:19:09.340 fracture and slickenlines at intermediate scale -- at sort of centimeter scales. 00:19:09.340 --> 00:19:11.990 And at meters or tens of meter scale, you see mullions. 00:19:11.990 --> 00:19:15.429 They're really different features. So why are we getting something 00:19:15.429 --> 00:19:20.190 that at least, at first blush, is like a line on a long, long plot -- 00:19:20.190 --> 00:19:24.940 a consistent scaling over many scales? 00:19:24.940 --> 00:19:29.440 Okay, so these are the puzzles about the fault roughness data. 00:19:29.440 --> 00:19:33.960 And I think an answer might have to do with 00:19:33.970 --> 00:19:39.830 how these rough surfaces interact with each other. 00:19:39.830 --> 00:19:45.450 If you are going to shear two rough surfaces past each other, 00:19:45.450 --> 00:19:50.610 the first thing that has to happen as those surfaces shear past each other 00:19:50.610 --> 00:19:55.700 is they start to deform to make room, right? 00:19:55.700 --> 00:20:07.330 And the strain required to completely flatten this bump -- 00:20:07.330 --> 00:20:13.159 the shear strain required, by definition, is the displacement in one direction -- 00:20:13.159 --> 00:20:15.690 in the, say, Z direction -- divided by the length scale, 00:20:15.690 --> 00:20:19.169 that displacement’s accommodated in the opposite direction. 00:20:19.169 --> 00:20:22.350 So H over L. 00:20:22.350 --> 00:20:27.570 So if, for instance, this strain is accommodated elastically, 00:20:27.570 --> 00:20:32.239 the stress would be proportional to H over L. 00:20:32.239 --> 00:20:34.809 And the first process that is in play 00:20:34.809 --> 00:20:42.470 as two surfaces slide past each other is the elastic deformation. 00:20:42.470 --> 00:20:47.400 The first, I say, at small deformations. 00:20:47.400 --> 00:20:49.320 Okay. Everybody with that thought? 00:20:49.330 --> 00:20:54.600 Because the entire rest of this talk is based on that thought. 00:20:54.600 --> 00:20:57.060 I’m going to take a pause here. 00:20:57.060 --> 00:20:58.860 We’re all good? 00:20:58.869 --> 00:21:00.869 - But it’s not going to be elastic. 00:21:00.869 --> 00:21:05.880 - No, it’s not. Thank you, Wade. 00:21:05.889 --> 00:21:10.590 At some point, when that strain becomes too large, 00:21:10.590 --> 00:21:15.269 something inelastic will have to happen. 00:21:15.269 --> 00:21:17.200 It will fail. 00:21:17.200 --> 00:21:20.739 It can fail brittle-y. It can fail plastically. 00:21:20.739 --> 00:21:24.350 There are varieties of ways to make rock fail. 00:21:24.350 --> 00:21:26.559 But the important point is that there will be 00:21:26.559 --> 00:21:32.059 a critical strain at which failure occurs. 00:21:32.060 --> 00:21:35.940 Once it fails, that’s the end of the asperity. 00:21:35.950 --> 00:21:41.610 So the maximum aspect ratio -- the maximum strain possible 00:21:41.610 --> 00:21:48.539 in a fault surface is going to be governed by this critical strain, 00:21:48.539 --> 00:21:52.159 which is the threshold for failure. 00:21:52.160 --> 00:21:56.400 - It’ll fail way before that. 00:21:56.400 --> 00:22:00.360 - Why? That’s the definition of failure. 00:22:00.369 --> 00:22:03.860 The definition of failure is the strain at which it fails. 00:22:06.760 --> 00:22:09.140 Okay? - Actually, Emily, since you did 00:22:09.149 --> 00:22:11.899 ask about that relationship, is that just a scaling relationship, 00:22:11.899 --> 00:22:14.350 or is that based upon elastic contact mechanics? 00:22:14.350 --> 00:22:16.039 The H over L scale. 00:22:16.039 --> 00:22:18.409 - Right now, I’m using it as a scaling relationship. 00:22:18.409 --> 00:22:21.179 You can get exactly the same thing out of a Hertzian contact. 00:22:21.179 --> 00:22:22.789 - Okay. - Yeah. 00:22:22.789 --> 00:22:26.919 If you sit there with a Hertzian contact, A over R goes as H over L. 00:22:26.919 --> 00:22:29.770 - But that’s for normal displacement as opposed to shear. 00:22:29.770 --> 00:22:30.390 - Right. - Okay. 00:22:30.390 --> 00:22:32.549 - But the shear is proportional to the normal for a Hertzian contact. 00:22:32.549 --> 00:22:33.929 - Okay. So it’s that kind of scaling. Okay, thanks. 00:22:33.929 --> 00:22:35.820 - Okay. So it’s a scaling. And we’re going to use it as 00:22:35.820 --> 00:22:38.320 a proportionality because of those details. 00:22:38.320 --> 00:22:41.610 I did ask for it, right? - Yeah. 00:22:41.610 --> 00:22:44.029 - Because of those details, I am going to use this strictly as a 00:22:44.029 --> 00:22:50.700 proportionality statement and -- because it is rigorously correct in this way. 00:22:50.700 --> 00:22:53.989 But working through what the constants are in front would require 00:22:53.989 --> 00:22:57.320 a more detailed model of both the failure process 00:22:57.320 --> 00:23:02.080 and the geometry in that long-range elastic attractions. 00:23:02.080 --> 00:23:03.600 - Okay, thanks. 00:23:03.600 --> 00:23:05.300 - Okay. 00:23:05.300 --> 00:23:14.540 Okay, so what I am proposing here is that the elastic -- 00:23:14.549 --> 00:23:21.369 that the observed aspect ratio is capped by some sort of failure strain. 00:23:21.369 --> 00:23:25.600 And that failure strain varies as a function of scale 00:23:25.600 --> 00:23:29.800 because we see the aspect ratio vary as a function of scale. 00:23:32.900 --> 00:23:39.119 So for instance, if I fit a line -- I fit the power spectra -- 00:23:39.119 --> 00:23:42.459 the observed roughness for a particular fault -- I’m going to use for -- 00:23:42.459 --> 00:23:45.559 as this example, the Corona Fault in San Francisco. 00:23:45.570 --> 00:23:51.840 This is a fault in the Castro district about 10 minutes from the Moscone Center, 00:23:51.840 --> 00:23:57.649 should you ever want to take a break from AGU. Lovely fault. 00:23:57.649 --> 00:24:02.700 And it is -- in that case, the dashed line 00:24:02.700 --> 00:24:07.609 is aspect ratio as a function of scale as observed. 00:24:07.609 --> 00:24:14.789 And as advertised, the aspect ratio increases at smaller scale. 00:24:14.789 --> 00:24:17.090 The mountains are steeper at smaller scale. 00:24:17.090 --> 00:24:23.129 And so in this case, the observed scale dependence is that 00:24:23.129 --> 00:24:29.970 the aspect ratio goes as observation to the -- observation scale to the 0.6, 00:24:29.970 --> 00:24:35.460 which means the aspect ratio goes as -- divide both sides by L -- 00:24:35.460 --> 00:24:38.730 goes as L to the minus 0.4. 00:24:38.730 --> 00:24:40.499 Okay? 00:24:41.820 --> 00:24:46.899 So what I’m suggesting is that we can interpret 00:24:46.899 --> 00:24:54.399 that aspect ratio as a yield strain. 00:24:56.950 --> 00:25:00.149 Or at least proportional to a yield strain. 00:25:00.149 --> 00:25:03.590 And though we have different processes that are governing 00:25:03.590 --> 00:25:07.649 that yield at different scales, and this is schematic -- 00:25:07.649 --> 00:25:10.859 that we might have fractures or tool marks or ledges. 00:25:10.859 --> 00:25:13.509 There are different processes that are geologically identified 00:25:13.509 --> 00:25:18.960 at different scales -- they're all yielding in some form or another. 00:25:18.960 --> 00:25:21.960 And so therefore, we translate that 00:25:21.960 --> 00:25:27.800 dependence of aspect ratio to a scale dependence of yield strain. 00:25:32.560 --> 00:25:36.980 Okay, so now I said that we’ve looked at the roughness of faults 00:25:36.989 --> 00:25:42.590 and found scale-dependent strength -- or the scale dependence of strength, 00:25:42.590 --> 00:25:45.590 defined as yield strain. 00:25:45.590 --> 00:25:54.140 And does this dependence make any sense based on anything else we know? 00:25:54.140 --> 00:25:58.960 Well, at least it -- it says -- there’s a negative exponent there. 00:25:58.970 --> 00:26:03.789 So that says that, at smaller scales, rocks are stronger. 00:26:03.789 --> 00:26:06.580 That is the common wisdom on rocks. 00:26:06.580 --> 00:26:10.619 They have decreasing strength as a function of scale. 00:26:10.619 --> 00:26:17.139 That’s commonly thought to be because there is a larger probability 00:26:17.139 --> 00:26:23.470 of hitting a flaw of a given size for larger rocks. 00:26:23.470 --> 00:26:28.840 And so therefore, you have decreasing strength as a function of scale. 00:26:28.840 --> 00:26:32.100 And so that’s a feature captured here. 00:26:32.100 --> 00:26:34.489 What other measurements on real rocks do we have 00:26:34.489 --> 00:26:39.189 to compare this interpretation to? 00:26:43.940 --> 00:26:46.080 Well . . . 00:26:55.420 --> 00:26:59.660 There are measurements in the laboratory of rock strength 00:26:59.669 --> 00:27:05.019 as a function of scale that generally come up with scalings of 1/2. 00:27:05.019 --> 00:27:07.230 So 0.4 is pretty close to 1/2. 00:27:07.230 --> 00:27:12.350 Certainly within the precision of any of these measurements. 00:27:12.350 --> 00:27:17.879 So perhaps that’s a little bit of confirmation that, empirically, 00:27:17.879 --> 00:27:24.399 we are recreating a scaling that is thought to apply to rocks in the lab. 00:27:24.400 --> 00:27:28.320 To the best of my knowledge, there is not a similar data set 00:27:28.330 --> 00:27:31.639 in nature doing strength as a function of scale. 00:27:31.639 --> 00:27:36.940 So as I hunt around for something else to compare this to at field scales, 00:27:36.940 --> 00:27:39.429 I don't think there’s a lot out there. 00:27:39.429 --> 00:27:43.680 And I’m sure somebody will correct me in this audience if I am wrong. 00:27:43.680 --> 00:27:48.419 I’d love to hear about it. 00:27:48.419 --> 00:27:51.570 But part of the reason this is a valuable measurement 00:27:51.570 --> 00:27:57.440 is because this is a hard thing to measure on real rocks at field scales. 00:27:57.440 --> 00:28:01.500 And so I think we might be heading there. 00:28:05.500 --> 00:28:13.940 One other piece of possible corroboration is, when we actually 00:28:13.950 --> 00:28:22.999 look at larger -- at scales of -- field scales, for instance, 00:28:22.999 --> 00:28:30.549 on the Corona Fault, we find evidence for failure at multiple scales. 00:28:30.549 --> 00:28:37.129 Remember the pictures of intragranular fracture and slickenlines and mullions. 00:28:37.129 --> 00:28:42.169 There are non-elastic processes making failure at multiple scales. 00:28:42.169 --> 00:28:47.480 So this idea that failure happens at all scales is not crazy. 00:28:47.480 --> 00:28:51.320 And in fact, if we go in detail -- for instance, on Corona, 00:28:51.320 --> 00:28:59.509 we looked at the orientation of slickenlines around topographic bumps 00:28:59.509 --> 00:29:04.879 and found that the topographic bumps did not, in fact, deflect the slickenlines, 00:29:04.879 --> 00:29:09.169 that the slip went straight on over the topography as if it wasn't there, 00:29:09.169 --> 00:29:12.989 which implies a relative weakness of that topography. 00:29:12.989 --> 00:29:16.450 So at least that’s somewhat confirmatory with this view 00:29:16.450 --> 00:29:20.519 of failure at multiple scales. 00:29:20.519 --> 00:29:22.719 Okay. 00:29:22.720 --> 00:29:24.840 So . . . 00:29:30.700 --> 00:29:35.480 One conundrum that comes out of this analysis is that -- 00:29:35.489 --> 00:29:37.220 what happens at small scales? 00:29:37.220 --> 00:29:42.899 I've just proposed to you that we have observed a scale dependence of 00:29:42.899 --> 00:29:48.330 aspect ratio, and we’re interpreting it as a scale dependence of strength. 00:29:48.330 --> 00:29:55.809 This has an obvious problem at L equals zero. Right? It blows up. 00:29:55.809 --> 00:29:59.330 One could argue that it is probably truncated at some level 00:29:59.330 --> 00:30:04.879 by the intrinsic unflawed strength of rocks. 00:30:04.879 --> 00:30:08.339 That may well be the case. 00:30:08.340 --> 00:30:16.679 However, I’d like to actually look at small scales, and let’s see what happens. 00:30:16.679 --> 00:30:21.649 So when we look at small scales, if we take samples into the laboratory, 00:30:21.649 --> 00:30:24.950 we find something very curious. 00:30:24.950 --> 00:30:28.479 What you’re looking at for this example is 00:30:28.479 --> 00:30:32.379 a piece of fault from Mount St. Helens. 00:30:32.380 --> 00:30:37.280 All right. Mount St. Helens Fault may not be everybody’s favorite fault. 00:30:37.280 --> 00:30:39.140 It’s actually one of my favorite faults. 00:30:39.149 --> 00:30:45.799 It’s actually the shear edge of one of the 2004 eruption spines. 00:30:45.799 --> 00:30:53.299 As that spine pushed its way up past the crater wall, there’s this highly grooved, 00:30:53.299 --> 00:30:58.570 striated surface with fault gouge piled up at the bottom of the spine. 00:30:58.570 --> 00:31:00.489 It’s really a neat place. 00:31:00.489 --> 00:31:02.749 And part of what makes it neat 00:31:02.749 --> 00:31:08.470 is this particular sample was collected in 2008, was extremely fresh. 00:31:08.470 --> 00:31:10.509 It clearly had just formed. 00:31:10.509 --> 00:31:13.109 There are earthquakes associated with the extrusion of that spine. 00:31:13.109 --> 00:31:16.809 We know a fair amount about it. The earthquakes are shear -- 00:31:16.809 --> 00:31:22.149 are thought to be shear failures on that slip surface. 00:31:22.149 --> 00:31:29.289 So it hasn't had a long and complicated history past that. 00:31:34.599 --> 00:31:39.349 When you take this obviously striated sample into the laboratory 00:31:39.349 --> 00:31:42.190 and stick it under a white light interferometer, 00:31:42.190 --> 00:31:46.999 and take a small-scale picture of the surface, there is a 00:31:46.999 --> 00:31:52.459 scale somewhere below a millimeter at which you no longer see grooves. 00:31:52.460 --> 00:31:56.740 As shown on the topography image there. 00:31:56.749 --> 00:32:03.940 So another way of thinking about it is that this surface is clearly anisotropic. 00:32:03.940 --> 00:32:07.000 Right, the slip-parallel roughness is different than the 00:32:07.009 --> 00:32:10.499 slip-perpendicular. That’s what grooves are. 00:32:10.499 --> 00:32:19.210 And this surface is isotropic. Roughness is the same in all directions. 00:32:19.210 --> 00:32:27.659 And that is a feature. We can capture the power spectral density that is not -- 00:32:27.659 --> 00:32:33.580 that we -- here we are at Corona Heights again -- Corona Fault again. 00:32:33.580 --> 00:32:36.679 And same deal. Is we are looking at power 00:32:36.679 --> 00:32:44.109 spectral density, but now we are looking at much smaller scales than prior. 00:32:44.109 --> 00:32:47.309 Between a micron and a millimeter. 00:32:47.309 --> 00:32:55.739 And the spectra diverge in the slip-parallel and slip-perpendicular 00:32:55.739 --> 00:33:01.929 direction at large scales, but they come together at some small scales. 00:33:01.929 --> 00:33:05.609 And you can -- again, to guard against deluding ourselves, 00:33:05.609 --> 00:33:09.029 we can see the same feature in just the raw maps, 00:33:09.029 --> 00:33:13.029 that at the tens of microns scale, it is -- you wouldn't know which way 00:33:13.029 --> 00:33:17.590 this thing was flipping, or certainly you'd have to look at it pretty carefully. 00:33:17.590 --> 00:33:21.410 Whereas, it’s pretty obvious at this scale. 00:33:28.500 --> 00:33:33.260 When Thibault first showed this to me, I was sure he had done some 00:33:33.269 --> 00:33:36.059 horrible experimental thing with the white light interferometer, 00:33:36.059 --> 00:33:40.859 and it was some sort of artifact. But he kept doing it. 00:33:40.859 --> 00:33:48.529 And we kept finding it on lots of different slip surfaces. 00:33:48.529 --> 00:33:55.090 Here’s a suite of faults where he’s looking at the spectra and 00:33:55.090 --> 00:34:00.369 marking with the circles where the spectra come together. 00:34:00.369 --> 00:34:02.499 And we’re going to call that the 00:34:02.499 --> 00:34:06.159 minimum grooving scale, or the transition scale. 00:34:08.780 --> 00:34:11.720 And it seems to be, for most faults that he was measuring, 00:34:11.720 --> 00:34:14.600 somewhere between tens and hundreds of microns. 00:34:17.850 --> 00:34:22.620 And at that point, we started trying to understand why the scale existed. 00:34:22.620 --> 00:34:24.100 What’s it telling us? 00:34:24.100 --> 00:34:27.220 And we started trying to relate it to various properties of the rocks. 00:34:27.220 --> 00:34:31.510 And, you know, we spent about a year looking at grain size, 00:34:31.510 --> 00:34:35.110 but that didn't work out. 00:34:35.110 --> 00:34:40.980 And it doesn't seem to be correlated with grain size as far as we can tell. 00:34:40.980 --> 00:34:49.270 But we just have this suite of, you know, almost -- you know, 00:34:49.270 --> 00:34:53.530 about an order of magnitude and a half of wavelengths of different -- 00:34:53.530 --> 00:35:01.020 for different faults that we observe this onset scale on. 00:35:01.020 --> 00:35:06.800 I think the big breakthrough came when we dropped a line on this graph. 00:35:06.800 --> 00:35:13.330 This line of constant aspect ratio that we’ve been playing with -- in this case, 00:35:13.330 --> 00:35:19.360 for reference, a 1% line -- actually went through the data pretty well. 00:35:19.360 --> 00:35:23.620 That all these different transition scales seemed to be corresponding to a similar 00:35:23.620 --> 00:35:30.440 aspect ratio at the scale of transition -- at the minimum grooving scale. 00:35:30.440 --> 00:35:37.600 As it turns out, that result held up, even for a more peculiar observation. 00:35:37.600 --> 00:35:47.720 That the -- if we look at individual faults, samples from different places 00:35:47.720 --> 00:35:51.520 on the same fault, or even -- you take the same hand sample 00:35:51.520 --> 00:35:58.120 and do different spots with the white light interferometer, you will, in fact, 00:35:58.120 --> 00:36:02.400 get different transition scales at different places on the fault 00:36:02.400 --> 00:36:05.930 or even at different places on the sample. 00:36:05.930 --> 00:36:08.910 Spectral estimation is a statistical quantity. 00:36:08.910 --> 00:36:12.770 And roughness is not really the same everywhere on the fault. 00:36:16.330 --> 00:36:22.390 So, however, if you mark the transition scale at different -- 00:36:22.390 --> 00:36:25.800 from different images -- different sub-samples of the fault, 00:36:25.800 --> 00:36:31.740 for any given fault, the transition scales all fall on the same aspect ratio. 00:36:35.750 --> 00:36:38.450 Here for Corona Fault, it’s around 1%. 00:36:38.450 --> 00:36:42.120 For Mount St. Helens, it’s somewhat higher. 00:36:42.120 --> 00:36:46.770 The aspect ratio is just under 10% at which the transition scale occurs. 00:36:46.770 --> 00:36:50.240 So the physical control of this minimum grooving scale, 00:36:50.240 --> 00:36:53.500 whatever that physical control seems to -- is, seems to 00:36:53.500 --> 00:36:57.570 be related to aspect ratio, not length by itself. 00:36:57.570 --> 00:37:04.070 It's the ratio of asperity height to length that matters. 00:37:04.070 --> 00:37:08.800 So here’s the full suite of data which Thibault has measured. 00:37:08.800 --> 00:37:13.650 Minimum grooving scale at this point. 00:37:13.650 --> 00:37:16.270 You can -- different colors on the top -- 00:37:16.270 --> 00:37:20.800 so the top fault panel is natural slip surfaces. 00:37:20.800 --> 00:37:24.010 The bottom panel is experimental slip surface, 00:37:24.010 --> 00:37:31.170 including some that have come from Diane Moore’s lab here in Menlo Park. 00:37:31.170 --> 00:37:35.880 And as you can -- and the different colors -- each set of colors 00:37:35.880 --> 00:37:39.180 corresponds to -- at least within a panel -- 00:37:39.180 --> 00:37:45.480 to one fault or one set of experiments -- or one experiment, sorry. 00:37:45.480 --> 00:37:48.820 And what you can see is that you get 00:37:48.820 --> 00:37:53.480 an array of transition scales for any given fault. 00:37:53.480 --> 00:37:55.030 But everything falls on the same line 00:37:55.030 --> 00:38:03.000 for any fault that the critical aspect ratio is uniquely defined for a given fault. 00:38:03.000 --> 00:38:07.910 And it’s different for different faults interestingly. 00:38:07.910 --> 00:38:17.250 We see the same behavior in the lab, which is reassuring because it means 00:38:17.250 --> 00:38:19.740 we’re not looking at some funky weathering artifact 00:38:19.740 --> 00:38:25.860 or something related to exhumation. It happens in the lab as well. 00:38:25.860 --> 00:38:29.560 So what we conclude at this stage is there exists a critical aspect ratio 00:38:29.560 --> 00:38:32.790 at each fault that governs the minimal scale of grooving. 00:38:34.820 --> 00:38:36.680 All right. 00:38:37.860 --> 00:38:41.360 You all have been very quiet. 00:38:41.360 --> 00:38:45.460 Ten microns. Does that get anybody thinking? 00:38:45.470 --> 00:38:46.970 Ten microns. 00:38:46.970 --> 00:38:51.630 Is that a scale of interest to anybody in this room? 00:38:53.940 --> 00:38:57.000 Who has not already read the manuscript? 00:38:59.520 --> 00:39:01.780 No? Ten microns doesn't do it for anyone? 00:39:01.780 --> 00:39:03.680 A hundred microns? Somewhere in there? 00:39:03.680 --> 00:39:05.360 Doesn't make you think of something? 00:39:05.360 --> 00:39:07.820 Made me think of something. 00:39:07.820 --> 00:39:11.640 No? No? No rate-and-state fanatics here? 00:39:14.300 --> 00:39:20.480 D-sub-c? Yeah? No? Yeah? Maybe? 00:39:23.450 --> 00:39:31.110 That when people do laboratory experiments and look at the 00:39:31.110 --> 00:39:39.920 displacement required for weakening a fault as -- 00:39:39.920 --> 00:39:43.740 or weakening a surface as velocity changes, 00:39:43.750 --> 00:39:51.260 they -- there is often observed a critical slip distance over which faults -- 00:39:51.260 --> 00:39:55.010 over which laboratory experiments weaken where friction changes. 00:39:55.010 --> 00:40:00.900 And this is known as D-sub-c in rate-and-state friction 00:40:00.900 --> 00:40:06.010 and actually in more general forms of slip-weakening friction. 00:40:06.010 --> 00:40:12.030 And, as I mentioned, at least some of these examples came courtesy of Diane. 00:40:12.030 --> 00:40:20.490 And you can see that the -- that is the one set of samples 00:40:20.490 --> 00:40:23.760 for which we actually -- no, actually there’s another set. 00:40:23.760 --> 00:40:30.800 But it is one of the set of samples for which we have both the 00:40:30.800 --> 00:40:33.150 laboratory measurements of D-sub-c and the transition scale 00:40:33.150 --> 00:40:35.620 measured at the -- on the same sample. 00:40:35.620 --> 00:40:40.430 And we do see that at least approximately, D-sub-c for those 00:40:40.430 --> 00:40:47.910 samples is 10 microns, which is, in that case, pretty close to the transition scale. 00:40:47.910 --> 00:40:53.110 So maybe -- maybe these things have something to do with each other. 00:40:56.340 --> 00:41:00.060 I’m really surprised that you guys didn't call it out. 00:41:00.060 --> 00:41:02.360 All right. 00:41:02.360 --> 00:41:08.800 - Excuse me. Doesn't D-sub-c depend on the roughness of the fault surface in the lab? 00:41:09.840 --> 00:41:17.880 - It does. And it does in the observations as well. 00:41:17.890 --> 00:41:22.770 Our L-sub-c, if you will, our transition scale depends on the roughness. 00:41:22.770 --> 00:41:25.090 Because it depends on the aspect ratio. 00:41:25.090 --> 00:41:29.420 So the aspect ratio is constant at the minimum scale of grooving. 00:41:29.420 --> 00:41:32.030 But if you have a rougher fault, you will therefore have 00:41:32.030 --> 00:41:36.570 the transition scale at a larger observation scale. 00:41:36.570 --> 00:41:39.550 So that’s actually quite consistent. 00:41:42.520 --> 00:41:46.550 So what is this D-sub-c micromechanically? 00:41:49.340 --> 00:41:53.580 Dieterich and Kilgore proposed that it was related to a scale 00:41:53.580 --> 00:41:57.930 of plastically yielding asperities through a very elegant set 00:41:57.930 --> 00:42:03.980 of experiments where they imaged asperity growth and plastic -- what 00:42:03.980 --> 00:42:11.680 appeared to be a plastic process as they grew over time or with increasing load. 00:42:11.680 --> 00:42:15.640 And so there’s a connection between 00:42:15.640 --> 00:42:21.980 this slip weakening distance, D-sub-c, and a scale of plastic yield. 00:42:30.830 --> 00:42:32.730 Why is there a scale of plastic yield? 00:42:32.730 --> 00:42:40.240 I've just been talking about asperities yielding at all scales. 00:42:40.240 --> 00:42:43.380 Asperities yielding at all scales. 00:42:45.600 --> 00:42:47.600 Well... 00:42:48.820 --> 00:42:52.100 ... the reason has to do with 00:42:52.110 --> 00:42:56.460 the micromechanics of how asperities interact. 00:42:56.460 --> 00:43:01.900 And this was some fundamental work done in the late ’70s, early ’80s 00:43:01.900 --> 00:43:10.310 by Lawn and co-workers where they looked at -- underneath an indenter 00:43:10.310 --> 00:43:11.700 and they found that there was 00:43:11.700 --> 00:43:20.700 a zone at which the stresses are high enough to have plastic yield. 00:43:20.700 --> 00:43:30.690 And beyond that, you could start to get fractures if -- in some circumstances. 00:43:30.690 --> 00:43:38.340 And you would get fractures beyond the plastic zone -- 00:43:38.340 --> 00:43:43.590 these fractures that are growing away from the indenter -- 00:43:43.590 --> 00:43:49.910 if the stress intensity factor at the edge of the plastic zone 00:43:49.910 --> 00:43:54.280 is high enough to be above the toughness. 00:43:54.280 --> 00:43:57.230 Or the stress intensity factor -- I’m sorry -- on flaws at the 00:43:57.230 --> 00:44:01.690 end of the fracture zone is above a -- 00:44:01.690 --> 00:44:05.940 high enough to be above a certain critical stress intensity factor. 00:44:05.940 --> 00:44:11.260 Since this stress in the plastic zone is governed by the plastic 00:44:11.260 --> 00:44:18.240 failure strength of the rock hardness, which is the definition of hardness, 00:44:18.240 --> 00:44:22.700 then we actually know what the stress loading 00:44:22.700 --> 00:44:26.530 for the stress intensity factor is. It's H -- for hardness. 00:44:26.530 --> 00:44:34.590 And there is a relationship between the scale of this asperity contact area -- 00:44:34.590 --> 00:44:38.420 the scale of which that stress is getting concentrated on it edges -- 00:44:38.420 --> 00:44:42.190 and the material properties. 00:44:42.190 --> 00:44:50.720 That if that indenter is large enough -- L is large enough -- 00:44:50.720 --> 00:44:56.600 then fractures are able to propagate. 00:44:56.610 --> 00:45:04.450 If it’s too small, there is only plastic failure underneath a indenter. 00:45:04.450 --> 00:45:08.340 So small scales, indenters make plastic failure. 00:45:08.340 --> 00:45:11.300 Large-scale indenters also make brittle failure. 00:45:13.990 --> 00:45:16.790 So there exists a brittle-plastic transition 00:45:16.790 --> 00:45:19.010 in asperity interaction as a function of scale. 00:45:19.010 --> 00:45:22.050 That’s the bottom line here. 00:45:25.210 --> 00:45:31.760 And previous work certainly has made a connection between 00:45:31.760 --> 00:45:37.390 brittle or non-brittle behavior of asperities and the existence of grooves. 00:45:37.390 --> 00:45:39.330 Here’s another old paper. 00:45:39.330 --> 00:45:44.370 I do feel like I spend a lot of time reading 1970s papers in this field. 00:45:44.370 --> 00:45:49.730 There was a lot of wonderful stuff that happened in that period. 00:45:49.730 --> 00:45:59.790 And the -- what Engelder and Scholz showed is, for conditions -- for loads, 00:45:59.790 --> 00:46:10.060 and by extension, scales that are relatively light 00:46:10.060 --> 00:46:15.040 and only make plastic failure, you can get grooves, 00:46:15.040 --> 00:46:21.000 but they're very light. They're really small, subtle features. 00:46:21.000 --> 00:46:25.020 And that major grooving was associated with the existence 00:46:25.020 --> 00:46:31.190 of fractures on a surface -- a brittle feature. 00:46:31.190 --> 00:46:35.690 So what I am proposing -- come right back out to what we’re 00:46:35.690 --> 00:46:39.190 now measuring about roughness on faults -- is that the minimum scale 00:46:39.190 --> 00:46:45.990 of grooving, as observed on faults, is capturing an aspect ratio 00:46:45.990 --> 00:46:56.420 which corresponds to a critical pressure at which -- a critical strain at which 00:46:56.420 --> 00:47:02.620 we are sufficient to make this brittle-plastic transition. 00:47:06.760 --> 00:47:11.080 And so we have a brittle-plastic -- the minimum scale of grooving 00:47:11.090 --> 00:47:16.750 is a brittle-plastic transition in the behavior of asperity attraction. 00:47:19.640 --> 00:47:24.180 I’m realizing that the silence may have something to do with 00:47:24.190 --> 00:47:27.920 the fact that I rushed over one slide in the first half of the talk. 00:47:27.920 --> 00:47:31.060 - [inaudible] questions at the end. 00:47:31.060 --> 00:47:34.040 - Okay. It could be cultural, too. I get that. 00:47:34.040 --> 00:47:37.780 But, you know, let me just pause here for a minute 00:47:37.780 --> 00:47:42.320 and give you a little bit of context. 00:47:42.320 --> 00:47:51.920 I started out with big faults, which -- you know, and out there in the field 00:47:51.920 --> 00:47:53.430 measuring fault roughness. 00:47:53.430 --> 00:47:56.370 And, you know, we even talked about seismic waves. 00:47:56.370 --> 00:48:02.220 And now I’m giving you a story about micron scale grooves. 00:48:02.220 --> 00:48:07.320 Why am I so obsessed with brittle-plastic transition on micron scale grooves? 00:48:07.320 --> 00:48:12.390 My obsession is coming from one statement that I made 00:48:12.390 --> 00:48:15.940 very quickly in the first half of the talk. 00:48:15.940 --> 00:48:20.780 Which is that I have said that asperities fail at all scales. 00:48:20.780 --> 00:48:26.840 Right, that was the whole interpretation of this roughness in a restricted range. 00:48:26.840 --> 00:48:31.060 Asperities -- bumps -- are what determine 00:48:31.060 --> 00:48:35.800 real area of contact and what determine friction. 00:48:35.800 --> 00:48:39.280 That’s the game. If you want to know fault resistance, 00:48:39.290 --> 00:48:43.000 what you want to know is about real area of contact between 00:48:43.000 --> 00:48:51.130 surfaces and the process by which that real area of contact is determined. 00:48:51.130 --> 00:48:55.190 And that is going to tell you about the scale dependence of friction, 00:48:55.190 --> 00:48:58.770 should there be any scale dependence of friction. 00:49:01.930 --> 00:49:04.190 If fault asperities are failing at all scale, 00:49:04.190 --> 00:49:08.680 that means real area of contact is potentially determined at all scales. 00:49:08.680 --> 00:49:10.770 And it is possible that the laboratory experiments 00:49:10.770 --> 00:49:15.120 have no bearing whatsoever on the real Earth. 00:49:15.120 --> 00:49:17.450 That’s terrifying, right? 00:49:17.450 --> 00:49:21.300 But it’s also a physical possibility from what I just told you. 00:49:21.300 --> 00:49:24.970 I am now telling you something somewhat different. 00:49:24.970 --> 00:49:30.310 I am now telling you that there is an intrinsic length scale in this 00:49:30.310 --> 00:49:35.590 problem between a brittle and plastic interaction of asperities that has 00:49:35.590 --> 00:49:41.000 a manifestation on real fault surfaces -- this minimum scale of grooving. 00:49:41.000 --> 00:49:44.020 And so perhaps -- and seems to correspond 00:49:44.020 --> 00:49:47.600 to some processes that we know about in the lab. 00:49:47.600 --> 00:49:49.780 So with that said, the real area of contact 00:49:49.780 --> 00:49:57.930 is being determined, perhaps, by actual laboratory-simulated processes. 00:49:57.930 --> 00:50:00.330 Okay. 00:50:00.330 --> 00:50:05.370 Just to throw some numbers at it, does this brittle-plastic transition 00:50:05.370 --> 00:50:08.140 make sense for realistic values? 00:50:08.140 --> 00:50:12.900 If I just pick some pretty arbitrary textbook kind of values for silica glass -- 00:50:12.910 --> 00:50:17.960 not that this is that representative of actual fault rocks -- and work through 00:50:17.960 --> 00:50:22.540 what this predicated transition scale would be, I’d get around a micron. 00:50:22.540 --> 00:50:28.320 Which, you know, given how rough these numbers are, 00:50:28.320 --> 00:50:32.030 actually is a kind of yes -- confirmatory that at least 00:50:32.030 --> 00:50:36.150 we’re in the right scale range to be talking about a brittle-plastic transition. 00:50:36.150 --> 00:50:38.670 That’s a yes-question mark because I get it. 00:50:38.670 --> 00:50:40.370 I was talking about 10 microns a minute ago, 00:50:40.370 --> 00:50:43.170 and now I’m talking about a micron. 00:50:43.170 --> 00:50:49.970 But since I also am talking about scale-dependent strength -- 00:50:49.970 --> 00:50:55.030 that was the first half of this talk -- I don't think the laboratory values 00:50:55.030 --> 00:51:01.740 in a generic sense -- in a scale- independent sense, are that -- 00:51:01.740 --> 00:51:05.440 are necessarily the right thing to be using for this problem. 00:51:05.440 --> 00:51:11.140 So what I am imagining is that we have strength 00:51:11.140 --> 00:51:15.150 as measured by aspect ratio as a function of length scale. 00:51:15.150 --> 00:51:24.130 At large scales, that is controlled for a -- addressed by the fracture toughness. 00:51:24.130 --> 00:51:28.720 At small scales, strength is being controlled by a plastic process, 00:51:28.720 --> 00:51:31.790 which is parameterized as hardness. 00:51:31.790 --> 00:51:39.460 We have a crossover of these strength profiles -- strength as a function of scale. 00:51:39.460 --> 00:51:45.190 And just like in the Earth, in the crust, where we have strength envelopes 00:51:45.190 --> 00:51:49.770 crossing over as a function of depth to get a brittle-plastic transition, 00:51:49.770 --> 00:51:54.920 in this case, we have a crossover as a function of scale. 00:51:54.920 --> 00:52:03.160 And so, at large scales, brittle dominates. At small scales, plastic dominates. 00:52:03.160 --> 00:52:10.840 And their crossover scale is being determined -- is being inferred 00:52:10.840 --> 00:52:18.900 from the minimum scale of grooving from these -- where these power spectra 00:52:18.900 --> 00:52:24.800 come together and is being interpreted as a brittle-plastic transition. 00:52:27.360 --> 00:52:31.140 Whew. Which might be D-sub-c. 00:52:34.460 --> 00:52:38.360 Okay. I think I've gone far enough here. 00:52:38.360 --> 00:52:40.720 To recap. 00:52:43.900 --> 00:52:50.920 What I have -- actually, what we have actually observed is that fault 00:52:50.920 --> 00:52:55.610 roughness at the field scale is observed in a narrow range of aspect ratios. 00:52:55.610 --> 00:52:57.650 That’s an observation. 00:52:57.650 --> 00:53:01.700 And I said 0.1 to 1%. Strictly speaking, 00:53:01.700 --> 00:53:08.760 it’s 0.07 to 0.5% at 1 meter at the field scale. 00:53:08.760 --> 00:53:11.660 The aspect ratio increases with decreasing scale, 00:53:11.660 --> 00:53:14.380 and there exists a minimum scale of grooving controlled by 00:53:14.380 --> 00:53:17.820 critical aspect ratio that is uniquely defined for any given fault. 00:53:17.820 --> 00:53:19.500 Those are the observations. 00:53:19.500 --> 00:53:23.300 Those, I think -- I hope you actually believe. 00:53:23.300 --> 00:53:28.310 After that, I jumped off the deep end, and I interpreted them, 00:53:28.310 --> 00:53:32.710 which is that the strength decreases with scale 00:53:32.710 --> 00:53:38.140 specifically as L to the minus 0.4 in the brittle regime. 00:53:38.140 --> 00:53:40.910 That there exists a brittle-ductile -- a brittle-plastic transition 00:53:40.910 --> 00:53:44.920 at a critical scale. 00:53:44.920 --> 00:53:53.440 And the implications here are both macroscopic and microscopic. 00:53:53.440 --> 00:53:58.450 Macroscopically, if we’re gaining some sort of physical understanding 00:53:58.450 --> 00:54:02.310 of the origin of this roughness, we are on much, much firmer ground 00:54:02.310 --> 00:54:07.780 on extrapolating it to other applications like strong ground shaking. 00:54:07.780 --> 00:54:10.880 This idea that it would be -- what we’ve measured on these 22 faults 00:54:10.880 --> 00:54:15.050 are representative of the Earth and that we should go out and 00:54:15.050 --> 00:54:22.710 make strong ground shaking or any other dynamic rupture model based on this, 00:54:22.710 --> 00:54:26.310 that idea would be much more well-founded if we understood 00:54:26.310 --> 00:54:28.970 why we had such a restrictive range. 00:54:32.240 --> 00:54:40.980 Microscopically, I think what we’re learning here is that the real area 00:54:40.990 --> 00:54:45.060 of contact is determined by asperities yielding at all scales. 00:54:45.060 --> 00:54:47.760 And therefore, friction is -- I think I should have put 00:54:47.760 --> 00:54:53.440 the word “potentially” scale-dependent in here. 00:54:53.440 --> 00:54:55.980 Because of the next line. 00:54:55.980 --> 00:54:59.960 But the process of accommodation varies with scale -- this brittle/plastic. 00:54:59.960 --> 00:55:03.960 And so there is some hope of being able to actually -- 00:55:03.960 --> 00:55:06.460 we’re not at the end of the road yet here. 00:55:06.460 --> 00:55:11.620 But a hope of being able to do this scale-dependent accommodation 00:55:11.620 --> 00:55:16.110 process and actually get resistance as a function of scale. 00:55:16.110 --> 00:55:23.350 And I think possibly we also have evidence of a microscopic 00:55:23.350 --> 00:55:27.650 slip-weakening distance -- something like D-sub-c on real, live faults -- 00:55:27.650 --> 00:55:33.750 or real, dead faults, actually -- but actual natural surfaces. 00:55:33.750 --> 00:55:39.960 And that’s extremely exciting, at least to me, that there have 00:55:39.960 --> 00:55:45.430 been decades of laboratory work carefully studying 00:55:45.430 --> 00:55:50.460 and elucidating friction laws on rocks. 00:55:50.460 --> 00:55:54.400 And it’s very hard to know whether or not those extrapolate to real conditions. 00:55:54.400 --> 00:55:57.740 And if we can find a parameter that we can measure in the lab and find some 00:55:57.740 --> 00:56:04.140 feature on a surface that corresponds to that, that would be a good thing. 00:56:04.140 --> 00:56:09.620 So I will stop there, and now you will ask questions. [laughs] 00:56:09.620 --> 00:56:13.900 [ Applause ] 00:56:13.900 --> 00:56:16.940 - Questions? 00:56:26.460 --> 00:56:28.660 - Thank you very much. 00:56:28.660 --> 00:56:33.460 I’m wondering if this assumes that the stresses inside the asperity 00:56:33.460 --> 00:56:39.940 are uniform or if you’re really just quantifying stress concentrations? 00:56:39.940 --> 00:56:43.300 Meaning that, as the aspect ratio increases, you might have 00:56:43.310 --> 00:56:48.880 a situation where stresses start to focus at certain points. 00:56:48.880 --> 00:56:51.760 - You certainly do. 00:56:51.760 --> 00:56:56.400 That’s why I’m confining myself to these scaling arguments. 00:56:56.400 --> 00:56:59.450 The scaling arguments, I think, are pretty robust. 00:56:59.450 --> 00:57:04.270 The maximum stress under a Hertzian contact scale is H over L because, 00:57:04.270 --> 00:57:08.980 fundamentally, that’s the definition of shear strain is this. 00:57:08.980 --> 00:57:17.040 But in detail, yes, I mean, if you actually wanted to have a yield stress, 00:57:17.040 --> 00:57:22.860 not a yield strain, off of this -- or even a yield strain in detail with -- 00:57:22.860 --> 00:57:28.230 not just the scaling of yield strain with scale, then you'd have to 00:57:28.230 --> 00:57:32.520 solve that problem, the stress concentration problem. 00:57:32.520 --> 00:57:37.340 I think that if you’re just looking at the scale dependence of the threshold, 00:57:37.350 --> 00:57:42.130 I don't think you necessarily need to solve that problem. 00:57:43.220 --> 00:57:50.920 [ Silence ] 00:57:51.500 --> 00:57:53.080 - Hi, Emily. That was a nice talk. 00:57:53.080 --> 00:57:55.040 And also we always wait until the end because we have 00:57:55.040 --> 00:57:58.040 people watching remotely, and the microphone helps them hear. 00:57:58.040 --> 00:57:59.500 - Okay. 00:57:59.510 --> 00:58:04.380 - So basically, what you’re saying is that these asperities at all wavelengths 00:58:04.380 --> 00:58:08.890 are failing, and the scale dependence is a -- as a consequence of them failing 00:58:08.890 --> 00:58:12.780 at all wavelengths, plastically and elastically, through this transition ... 00:58:12.780 --> 00:58:14.970 - Brittle-y, yeah. - I’m sorry. Yeah. 00:58:14.970 --> 00:58:18.440 - Yeah, no. I know what you meant. - Plastically and then brittle-y, 00:58:18.440 --> 00:58:21.120 does that really -- I’m trying to get a sense of how that really 00:58:21.120 --> 00:58:22.250 explains the grooving phenomenon. 00:58:22.250 --> 00:58:26.380 I mean, the grooves -- the width of the grooves is determined by a contact size. 00:58:26.380 --> 00:58:31.010 So the asperities are loaded. They have a real area of contact. 00:58:31.010 --> 00:58:34.500 And that is determined by the elastic/brittle failure strength 00:58:34.500 --> 00:58:35.410 beneath the asperity. 00:58:35.410 --> 00:58:40.990 And then it’s dragged through, producing a plow or a groove. 00:58:40.990 --> 00:58:45.110 The width of the groove is determined by the contact -- real area of contact, 00:58:45.110 --> 00:58:48.070 but how does the wavelength along the groove trajectory determined by -- 00:58:48.070 --> 00:58:50.760 I mean, there’s a roughness along the groove trajectory. 00:58:50.760 --> 00:58:53.230 How does that -- actually controlled by strength? 00:58:53.230 --> 00:58:55.460 - That actually -- okay, well ... 00:58:55.460 --> 00:58:57.730 - I mean, there’s a -- the two things diverge, right? 00:58:57.730 --> 00:59:00.930 So there’s a -- there’s a fault parallel and a fault perpendicular roughness. 00:59:00.930 --> 00:59:04.130 - Right. - The striation or fault parallel roughness 00:59:04.130 --> 00:59:07.560 is smaller than the fault perpendicular, which makes sense. 00:59:07.560 --> 00:59:10.500 But how is the fault parallel actually determined by strength? 00:59:10.500 --> 00:59:12.400 I can see why the fault perpendicular would be. 00:59:12.400 --> 00:59:15.380 - That -- well, that -- to me, that’s one of the most perplexing problems here. 00:59:15.380 --> 00:59:18.320 I think -- I thought you were going somewhere else with that question, 00:59:18.320 --> 00:59:22.620 so I was -- I put this up, but that’s not -- this is not the answer to that question. 00:59:22.620 --> 00:59:24.840 - Yeah, I’m trying to explain the -- understand the anisotropy and 00:59:24.840 --> 00:59:29.100 roughness parallel and perpendicular to the grooves as a function of strength. 00:59:29.100 --> 00:59:30.760 - Okay, so ... - And it doesn't make sense ... 00:59:30.770 --> 00:59:37.100 - So I hear at least two questions there. So let me try to answer both of them. 00:59:37.100 --> 00:59:42.530 One is -- let’s just kind of look at the data again. 00:59:42.530 --> 00:59:47.750 The slip-parallel is the blue here. The slip-perpendicular is the green. 00:59:47.750 --> 00:59:51.290 Okay? And so what Steve’s pointing out is slip-parallel 00:59:51.290 --> 00:59:57.840 in the large-scale regime is less than slip-perpendicular. 00:59:57.840 --> 00:59:59.640 And then they come together. 00:59:59.640 --> 01:00:04.590 And there really is blue under there. It’s just hiding. 01:00:04.590 --> 01:00:10.490 And notice that the blue is not that different than the green. 01:00:10.490 --> 01:00:13.270 So there’s a subtle slope change, but it’s subtle. 01:00:13.270 --> 01:00:16.220 Whereas, there’s a really bigger change really coming -- 01:00:16.220 --> 01:00:19.910 it’s really the perpendicular coming in -- cutting in. 01:00:19.910 --> 01:00:24.920 So what I think is that the perpendicular is being governed 01:00:24.920 --> 01:00:26.960 by the existence of the grooves. 01:00:26.960 --> 01:00:29.300 And when the grooves cease, you get some of the same processes 01:00:29.300 --> 01:00:35.340 going in the parallel direction that -- in both regimes. 01:00:35.340 --> 01:00:38.660 Some of, but not all of. 01:00:38.660 --> 01:00:44.650 What I was going towards this slide was to point out is that the slip-parallel 01:00:44.650 --> 01:00:47.680 roughness is determined -- ah. I did it again. 01:00:47.680 --> 01:00:50.190 Very peculiar. 01:00:50.190 --> 01:00:54.990 By these slip-perpendicular fractures that form as you do -- 01:00:54.990 --> 01:00:58.180 that Engelder and Scholz interpreted as stick-slip. 01:00:58.180 --> 01:01:02.630 So there are features that make tensile gashes. 01:01:02.630 --> 01:01:05.300 I mean, that’s just one of many processes, 01:01:05.300 --> 01:01:08.380 but there are features that make perpendicular roughness. 01:01:08.380 --> 01:01:14.870 And they're not as spectacular as the excavated grooves from the 01:01:14.870 --> 01:01:17.520 brittle failure in the slip that make roughness 01:01:17.520 --> 01:01:21.180 in the slip-perpendicular direction, but they do exist. 01:01:21.180 --> 01:01:22.520 Okay. 01:01:22.520 --> 01:01:24.240 I’m not sure I answered your question here. 01:01:24.250 --> 01:01:26.690 - Well, I think you sort of did, but I’m also wondering -- I mean, 01:01:26.690 --> 01:01:29.540 I can see a physical reason why the roughness and the slip direction 01:01:29.540 --> 01:01:32.670 would scale with the amount of slip during an earthquake, for example. 01:01:32.670 --> 01:01:35.960 I mean, the earthquake starts under a certain stress condition then stops. 01:01:35.960 --> 01:01:38.630 It recurs, then, perhaps under a different stress condition 01:01:38.630 --> 01:01:41.040 that might produce different roughness, different contact area. 01:01:41.040 --> 01:01:44.580 I can imagine -- and this was your original goal, hoping to get 01:01:44.590 --> 01:01:47.310 to some kind of relationship between roughness and displacement 01:01:47.310 --> 01:01:50.350 so you can infer displacement from past events. 01:01:50.350 --> 01:01:53.430 I’m just trying to get a sense of what the physical reason for that would be. 01:01:53.430 --> 01:01:55.830 You know, what would map displacement per event 01:01:55.830 --> 01:01:59.590 into roughness in the slip-parallel direction? 01:01:59.590 --> 01:02:00.730 - Ah ... 01:02:00.730 --> 01:02:02.730 - And maybe this is something better talked about later. 01:02:02.730 --> 01:02:07.260 - Yeah, no. I mean -- I think something that I may have forgotten to say is -- 01:02:07.260 --> 01:02:14.480 so what I think is happening here is, as you have slip, 01:02:14.480 --> 01:02:16.640 there are two competing processes. 01:02:16.640 --> 01:02:19.730 There is this truncation failure process 01:02:19.730 --> 01:02:22.730 that’s controlling the maximum roughness. 01:02:22.730 --> 01:02:25.750 At the same time, you’re always regenerating roughness. 01:02:25.750 --> 01:02:29.480 Otherwise, you would have had a much stronger smoothing trend. 01:02:29.480 --> 01:02:33.840 If every time you slipped, you wore down a surface and smoothed it, 01:02:33.840 --> 01:02:36.490 you would eventually get some sort of smoothing trend. 01:02:36.490 --> 01:02:40.380 So when you slip, you recreate roughness through plucking, 01:02:40.380 --> 01:02:46.140 through making cavities, through -- there’s -- there is -- through piling 01:02:46.140 --> 01:02:50.420 up gouge -- there are a bunch of processes that can create roughness, 01:02:50.420 --> 01:02:53.200 and they're always competing and pushing yourself -- 01:02:53.200 --> 01:02:58.610 you up towards that maximum bound. 01:02:58.610 --> 01:03:02.820 And so the fact that this -- there’s a narrow range, I am interpreting, at least, 01:03:02.820 --> 01:03:07.630 as evidence of the maximum bound and the fact that roughness is decreasing 01:03:07.630 --> 01:03:13.630 gradually with slip, I am interpreting as evidence of the re-roughening process. 01:03:13.630 --> 01:03:15.880 Okay. 01:03:15.890 --> 01:03:18.390 You know, my computer’s going to prevent me from doing a bad thing here. 01:03:18.390 --> 01:03:21.800 No, it’s not. 01:03:21.810 --> 01:03:28.030 There was a slide here that I put on hide that I wasn't going to show. 01:03:28.030 --> 01:03:32.890 But because you’re asking this question, I’m going to try to unhide it. 01:03:38.160 --> 01:03:39.920 You know, the computer really should have something 01:03:39.930 --> 01:03:41.820 that prevents me from doing this. 01:03:50.340 --> 01:03:53.420 It does, right. 01:03:55.620 --> 01:03:59.860 - I think you can click it, but not put it in view mode, it’ll show up. I think. 01:03:59.860 --> 01:04:03.860 - Here it is. 01:04:03.860 --> 01:04:10.950 For discussion only, this is my imagination of how it works. 01:04:10.950 --> 01:04:18.000 Everybody’s really clear that I don't necessarily believe this? 01:04:18.000 --> 01:04:27.040 That we have different parameters controlling the slope of the 01:04:27.040 --> 01:04:30.480 roughness and different processes at different scales. 01:04:30.480 --> 01:04:34.640 And there is both mode one and mode two failure going on here. 01:04:34.640 --> 01:04:39.570 And the reason I put mode one on the top -- on the slip-perpendicular branch 01:04:39.570 --> 01:04:48.790 there is because the slope of that line is pretty much the same as the 01:04:48.790 --> 01:04:52.640 roughness slope that you get for mode one fractures for joints. 01:04:52.640 --> 01:04:56.260 - Yeah. That answers my question. - I knew it did. I ... 01:04:56.270 --> 01:04:58.490 - So it’s really the difference between fracture toughness between 01:04:58.490 --> 01:05:00.119 mode one and mode two . . . - Yes. 01:05:00.119 --> 01:05:02.360 - ... that controls the indentation versus indentation and plowing, 01:05:02.360 --> 01:05:04.140 in your conceptual model. - Yes. 01:05:04.140 --> 01:05:06.060 - Okay, thank you. - Yep. 01:05:12.760 --> 01:05:16.220 - As usual, Emily, you've forced me to think in uncomfortably 01:05:16.220 --> 01:05:20.120 different directions, and I guess that’s a good thing. 01:05:20.120 --> 01:05:23.960 - You’re welcome. - [laughs] 01:05:23.960 --> 01:05:28.250 One of the iconic things that I’ll take away from your talk is this -- 01:05:28.250 --> 01:05:33.270 the scale length as indicated by these topography diagrams where 01:05:33.270 --> 01:05:37.170 at the larger scale, you see the grooving, and at the smaller scale, you don't. 01:05:37.170 --> 01:05:44.310 And you’re saying there’s a difference in process that’s controlling that, right? 01:05:44.310 --> 01:05:45.980 - Mm-hmm. 01:05:45.990 --> 01:05:51.330 - I’m a little confused -- probably because this isn't my field -- 01:05:51.330 --> 01:05:56.060 what you mean by plastic yielding. 01:05:56.060 --> 01:06:01.920 Isn't that, at some micromechanical scale, also some kind of brittle fracture? 01:06:01.930 --> 01:06:03.690 What’s going on in, and is that important, 01:06:03.690 --> 01:06:05.690 or is that just a stupid question? 01:06:05.690 --> 01:06:10.050 - Oh, it’s a very deep question. - Thank you. 01:06:10.050 --> 01:06:12.250 [laughter] 01:06:14.230 --> 01:06:22.040 - What I mean by plastic yielding is that there is a failure stress that results 01:06:22.040 --> 01:06:32.200 in permanent deformation as opposed to a separation of surfaces, 01:06:32.200 --> 01:06:35.230 which is controlled by a fracture toughness. 01:06:35.230 --> 01:06:41.530 So that is a fairly specific definition that I’m taking here. 01:06:41.530 --> 01:06:45.100 I am making no statement whatsoever about the micromechanics 01:06:45.100 --> 01:06:46.600 of that plastic yielding. 01:06:46.600 --> 01:06:51.880 Thibault and I have had very long discussions about what that 01:06:51.880 --> 01:06:56.950 micromechanics might be because there is sort of growing literature right now 01:06:56.950 --> 01:07:01.890 on trying to identify micromechanics of plastic yielding on faults, and if it’s 01:07:01.890 --> 01:07:12.260 dislocation creep or what -- or the little nano balls of lubrication. 01:07:12.260 --> 01:07:17.040 Shalev Siman-Tov, who is visiting here with me, a post-doc at Santa Cruz 01:07:17.040 --> 01:07:22.010 who I believe has just gotten signed up to give you guys a talk shortly, 01:07:22.010 --> 01:07:29.710 he can tell you about his evidence for plasticity at very fine scales. 01:07:29.710 --> 01:07:35.960 But I don't think we have any constraint on that from this particular study. 01:07:35.960 --> 01:07:39.460 What we have evidence for is something that happens at -- 01:07:39.460 --> 01:07:42.980 with a hardness control. 01:07:42.980 --> 01:07:45.340 Okay. - Thanks. 01:07:51.580 --> 01:07:57.360 - Emily, just had a couple questions for clarification, but first, you know, 01:07:57.369 --> 01:08:01.619 there’s the old observation that the width of the fault zone 01:08:01.619 --> 01:08:08.230 is about 1% of the total slip, which seems to fall into this as well. 01:08:08.230 --> 01:08:11.820 But I just was wondering about two parameters. 01:08:11.820 --> 01:08:15.820 One, you finally mentioned gouge in the last five minutes. 01:08:15.820 --> 01:08:21.589 So you’re talking about two, more or less, surfaces -- 01:08:21.589 --> 01:08:24.020 clean surfaces in intimate contact. 01:08:24.020 --> 01:08:26.859 But in your first slide, you show that there’s a thick 01:08:26.859 --> 01:08:32.880 gouge layer, even in your normal faulting, in Oregon, I believe. 01:08:32.880 --> 01:08:37.029 And so you’re looking at the surface in a snapshot in time, which, 01:08:37.029 --> 01:08:41.380 after it has slid a little bit, that has to -- that whole surface 01:08:41.380 --> 01:08:44.520 has to evolve, and it’s all within this thicker gouge layer. 01:08:44.520 --> 01:08:50.040 And the other is what’s the effect of normal stress on all of this? 01:08:50.040 --> 01:08:55.040 And certainly in the lab scale, some of these features can't evolve 01:08:55.040 --> 01:08:59.710 if you’re running it at typical very low, normal stress, that you'll simply 01:08:59.710 --> 01:09:03.620 not create grooves and that sort of process. 01:09:03.620 --> 01:09:08.830 So there seem to be at least two more parameters involved in this. 01:09:08.830 --> 01:09:12.230 And certainly, you know, when you think of gouge thickness 01:09:12.230 --> 01:09:17.359 in the laboratory scale, 10 microns comes to mind as sort of a natural 01:09:17.359 --> 01:09:21.250 thickness if you don't start with something thicker than that 01:09:21.250 --> 01:09:24.540 as the sort of gouge layer that will build up. 01:09:24.540 --> 01:09:28.860 - Okay. So a couple issues here. Right. Yes, gouge exists. 01:09:28.860 --> 01:09:31.369 I’m with you. 01:09:32.589 --> 01:09:35.950 Preserve gouge is also known as cataclasite. 01:09:35.950 --> 01:09:42.290 And certainly for these -- indurated zone that I showed you in Oregon. 01:09:42.290 --> 01:09:45.400 And it’s a rock. 01:09:45.400 --> 01:09:51.180 It’s a rock that deforms. It’s a rock that fails internally. 01:09:51.180 --> 01:09:55.520 But it’s -- when I talk about failure, I am thinking about the failure 01:09:55.520 --> 01:09:59.040 of the gouge as one side of that. 01:09:59.040 --> 01:10:04.640 Okay, and that’s -- in other words -- to some extent, whether you 01:10:04.640 --> 01:10:09.640 call it gouge or a rock is a function of scale. 01:10:09.640 --> 01:10:18.520 And so I -- perhaps one of the reasons you do get failure 01:10:18.520 --> 01:10:20.640 at all scales is because you have gouge there. 01:10:20.640 --> 01:10:23.280 That it is weak, and it is deforming, 01:10:23.280 --> 01:10:29.180 but it is not deforming with infinite flexibility. 01:10:29.180 --> 01:10:32.240 The depth issue. 01:10:34.180 --> 01:10:38.080 What can I say about the depth issue? I study exhumed faults. 01:10:38.080 --> 01:10:40.220 Yeah. They're at the surface. 01:10:40.220 --> 01:10:44.740 There’s this tiny, little chip of a SAFOD sample -- actually, two different chips 01:10:44.750 --> 01:10:52.360 of SAFOD samples that seem to follow the same systematics, so that’s helpful. 01:10:52.360 --> 01:10:57.480 But other than that, these are exhumed faults and laboratory faults. 01:10:57.480 --> 01:11:07.520 And so the fact that we see the same systematics on the chip of the SAFOD 01:11:07.520 --> 01:11:13.360 sample and the -- in the laboratory gives at least -- for the minimum scale 01:11:13.360 --> 01:11:18.960 of grooving story, some confidence that that’s not just some funny depth effect. 01:11:18.960 --> 01:11:25.840 But it is certainly true that one would want to study this at higher pressures. 01:11:25.840 --> 01:11:30.600 It’s just that’s not where we get our faults preserved. 01:11:30.600 --> 01:11:35.040 I should say that some of these faults were active at higher depths. 01:11:35.040 --> 01:11:40.590 So it is what it is. 01:11:40.590 --> 01:11:44.100 This is -- for that reason, I would say this story probably 01:11:44.100 --> 01:11:49.560 has more bearing on rupture propagation than it does enucleation. 01:11:56.800 --> 01:11:59.000 - Thanks, Emily. Quick question. 01:11:59.000 --> 01:12:06.380 If one of the ultimate goals is to try to relate displacement to properties of a 01:12:06.380 --> 01:12:10.230 fault plane -- roughness or whatever, don't you need to know something about 01:12:10.230 --> 01:12:13.300 pore pressure at the time that the displacement occurred? 01:12:13.300 --> 01:12:17.340 And especially in light of the some of the -- I don't know, the Lapusta, et al, 01:12:17.340 --> 01:12:20.150 studies -- dynamic weakening suggesting that you can, you know, 01:12:20.150 --> 01:12:23.730 propagate ruptures pretty far. 01:12:23.730 --> 01:12:26.840 - I think, in detail -- yes. I mean, ultimately, 01:12:26.840 --> 01:12:29.900 to do the whole problem, you need all the stresses. 01:12:29.900 --> 01:12:34.210 This is a talk about strength. Okay? 01:12:34.210 --> 01:12:37.000 Pore pressure -- at least one of the major effects of pore pressure 01:12:37.000 --> 01:12:39.700 is on effective stress -- what’s driving it. 01:12:39.700 --> 01:12:43.580 And that’s a whole different story that’s for another day, and I’m happy 01:12:43.580 --> 01:12:47.150 to talk about pore pressure. I love talking about pore pressure. 01:12:47.150 --> 01:12:50.110 But what I wanted to do for this particular study 01:12:50.110 --> 01:12:54.750 was confine ourselves to looking at strength. Okay? 01:12:58.690 --> 01:13:01.690 But since you’ve started -- mentioned dynamic weakening, 01:13:01.690 --> 01:13:03.690 [laughter] 01:13:05.020 --> 01:13:09.740 I’d like to just point out one little tease in the data. 01:13:09.750 --> 01:13:14.640 Which is the laboratory -- the experimental slip surfaces, 01:13:14.640 --> 01:13:17.970 you notice there’s one that looks like it has 01:13:17.970 --> 01:13:23.260 a smaller aspect ratio at transition than the others. 01:13:23.260 --> 01:13:29.900 I’m scared of this mouse now, but these guys. 01:13:29.900 --> 01:13:32.460 That’s the highest velocity experiment. 01:13:32.470 --> 01:13:37.340 There’s -- all the gold ones are dolomite experiments from SHIVA -- 01:13:37.340 --> 01:13:39.190 from Di Toro’s lab. 01:13:39.190 --> 01:13:45.650 And they are -- and the one that -- 01:13:45.650 --> 01:13:49.850 the highest slip rates, the meter per second is the circles. 01:13:49.850 --> 01:13:53.520 And so it does suggest that maybe we are seeing something 01:13:53.520 --> 01:13:56.940 related to the dynamic weakening, possibly the heating of asperity 01:13:56.940 --> 01:14:01.420 is promoting plasticity in that. 01:14:01.420 --> 01:14:05.000 I think there is a potential to sit here and -- you know, 01:14:05.000 --> 01:14:10.790 once we get off first base -- you know, once we kind of get the framework right, 01:14:10.790 --> 01:14:13.120 we could sit here and have an interesting conversation 01:14:13.120 --> 01:14:16.610 about the systematics in this data set, 01:14:16.610 --> 01:14:22.200 whether deeper faults or hotter faults have greater or less plasticity. 01:14:22.200 --> 01:14:25.300 I think that would be a really interesting line to run after. 01:14:25.310 --> 01:14:29.210 But right now, we’re just setting up the framework. 01:14:37.220 --> 01:14:39.600 Julian is pointing at the clock. 01:14:39.610 --> 01:14:42.070 - There are other people who use this room at noon, actually. 01:14:42.070 --> 01:14:47.270 So -- and so I guess, since I’m -- since I’m talking, 01:14:47.270 --> 01:14:50.620 I’ll take this lull to say we probably should clear out. 01:14:50.620 --> 01:14:53.650 But if you want to continue this conversation, as always, 01:14:53.650 --> 01:14:54.840 we will be going to lunch. 01:14:54.840 --> 01:14:58.230 So we can meet in -- should probably meet in, like, 01:14:58.230 --> 01:15:01.969 five minutes before all of the tech guys get in line ahead of us. 01:15:01.969 --> 01:15:05.730 - So let’s meet in five minutes downstairs in front of building 3 01:15:05.730 --> 01:15:09.200 and walk over to the patio for lunch. And let’s thank Emily again. 01:15:09.200 --> 01:15:12.040 [ Applause ]