August 25, 1999

Summary

So far about 110 km of fault rupture has been found with fault slips mostly around 2.5 to 3 m with the maximum so far of 4.9m. Several interesting features have been found and many questions still remain. A map of the USGS observations shows a complex pattern of faulting. Some of the most interesting features include a 5 km stepover in the fault at Sapanca Lake. This reminds us of the 5 km stepover that separates the Hayward and Rodger's Creek faults under San Pablo Bay in the eastern San Francisco Bay area. The faulting also moves from the North Anatolian fault through a broad zone of deformation onto the Druzce fault near Akyazi. This is similar to the intersection of the San Andreas and San Gregorio faults offshore of the Golden Gate. Understanding how the Izmit earthquake linked together these various fault segments may provide a new understanding of the range of possible earthquakes that can occur near San Francisco and will ultimately help us more accurately estimate hazards in many regions. Another question arising from these observations involve the location of aftershocks well west of Golcuk while the rupture goes offshore there on faults that Akyut Barka thinks may end before reaching the area of these aftershocks. How are these aftershocks related to the mainshock and the faulting?

Field Report

We have spot-checked the length of the fault and believe the rupture to be approximately 110km (rough estimate because we cannot get to the west end due to road closures and the small possibility that the rupture continues farther to the east of where we have observed it). So far, it looks as if the rupture is only between Golcuk to the west and Eften Lake (called Melengolu on the 1:250000 topo map), to the east just southwest of Duzce.

We are concentrating on measuring offsets and so far our largest offset is 4.9m at roughly N40 42.569', E030 22.050' (just east of Sapanca Lake). There continues to be large offsets of up to 4.6m (+/-0.1m) for approximately 2km to the east of the 4.9m offset. Near the far eastern extent of the rupture the offset is more on the order of 1.2-1.5m.

We have established an alignment array at roughly the lat./long. listed above.

Damage is reportedly quite bad in Golcuk, but we have not been there. The worst area damaged that we have seen is at the far eastern extent to the west of Eften Lake. People are camping in tents to protect themselves against building collapse from aftershocks and also because many are homeless. Disease has begun to spread and a large rain storm yesterday did not help.

Attached should be 8 photos taken 8/22/99 and 8/23/99 from various points along the North Anatolian fault. We tried to send the photos at a decent resolution, but it would have taken over 45 minutes, so please bear with the low-resolution for now.

USGS Damage Photos from Izmit Earthquake, USGS

Tom Fumal, USGS