1906 Ground Motion Simulations
Future Work
We plan to examine earthquake scenarios for each major fault in the San Francisco Bay region. Top priority will likely be given to the Hayward fault, which last ruptured in 1868 in a magnitude 6.8 event. A large earthquake on the Hayward fault would have a similar impact on the Bay area as a large San Andreas fault event. (The 2003 Working Group report gave a probability of 24% for a M >= 6.7 earthquake on the Hayward/Rodgers Creek Fault system in the period from 2002-2032).
