PAGER - M 6.1 - EASTERN KAZAKHSTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Monday, January 28th, 2013 at 16:38:53 UTC (22:38:53 local)Location: 42.6° N, 79.7° EDepth: 15kmEvent Id: USC000EWQQAlert Version: 8Created: 2 weeks, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
4
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*3,410k*2,795k41k4k0000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1998-07-281745.1VI (29k)0
2003-12-01746VIII (6k)11
1996-03-193876.3IX (177)24

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IVKegen10k
IVTyup13k
IVKarakol70k
IVAksu340k
IVZharkent34k
IVKyzyl-Suu17k
IIIKapchagai42k
IIIYesik26k
IIIAral260k
IIITalghar42k
IIIAlmaty2,001k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-05-17
09:38 UTC
5.541.14° N, 82.19° E
5km
CNVIII (8)00
21973-06-02
23:57 UTC
5.844.14° N, 83.59° E
22km
CNVII (1 k)00
31974-01-04
09:27 UTC
5.540.75° N, 77.59° E
20km
CNVII (876)00
41975-09-09
18:32 UTC
5.540.11° N, 78.63° E
5km
CNVII (411)00
51977-12-18
16:47 UTC
5.939.85° N, 77.28° E
17km
CNVIII (183)00
61978-03-24
21:05 UTC
6.942.83° N, 78.57° E
24km
KGVIII (62 k)00
71979-03-29
02:01 UTC
5.641.99° N, 83.43° E
16km
CNVII (9)00
81979-09-25
13:05 UTC
5.745.1° N, 76.96° E
41km
KZVII (2 k)00
91982-12-31
19:46 UTC
5.342.88° N, 77.44° E
18km
KGVII (12)00
101987-01-05
22:52 UTC
5.741.96° N, 81.31° E
16km
CNVIII (28)00
111987-01-24
08:09 UTC
6.141.48° N, 79.34° E
7km
CNVIII (3 k)00
121987-01-24
08:13 UTC
5.541.39° N, 79.33° E
35km
CNVII (37 k)00
131987-01-24
13:40 UTC
5.241.47° N, 79.23° E
11km
CNVII (71)00
141990-11-12
12:28 UTC
6.342.95° N, 78.06° E
19km
KZIX (15)00
151991-02-25
14:30 UTC
640.32° N, 78.97° E
24km
CNVIII (37)00
161993-12-30
14:24 UTC
5.544.8° N, 78.79° E
16km
KZVII (27 k)00
171996-03-19
15:00 UTC
6.339.98° N, 76.66° E
23km
CNIX (177)2424
181998-03-19
13:51 UTC
5.640.05° N, 76.68° E
18km
CNVIII (56)00
191998-07-28
04:51 UTC
5.141.75° N, 81.48° E
10km
CNVI (29 k)00
201998-08-27
09:03 UTC
6.339.55° N, 77.33° E
25km
CNVIII (29 k)33
211999-03-15
10:42 UTC
5.441.77° N, 82.66° E
15km
CNVII (1)00
222003-12-01
01:38 UTC
642.88° N, 80.54° E
17km
CNVIII (6 k)1111
232005-02-14
23:38 UTC
6.141.68° N, 79.36° E
23km
CNVII (49 k)00
242006-12-25
20:00 UTC
5.842.09° N, 76.15° E
12km
KGVIII (3)00
252007-07-20
10:06 UTC
5.642.91° N, 82.38° E
10km
CNVII (62)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.