PAGER - M 6.3 - MOLUCCA SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Monday, November 14th, 2011 at 04:05:12 UTC (12:05:12 local)Location: 1° S, 126.9° EDepth: 19kmEvent Id: USC0006RLPAlert Version: 2Created: 1 hour, 20 minutes after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
66
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
3
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
67
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
3
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*3,518k*69k45k6960000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1977-01-011756.3VI (6k)0
2007-01-212387.5VI (283k)3
2000-05-043727.5VIII (17k)46

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IIITernate102k
IITomohon28k
IITobelo10k
IIBitung137k
IITondano33k
IIManado452k
IIAmbon356k
IILaikit, Laikit II (Dimembe)8k
IIAmahai48k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-03-16
00:51 UTC
6.32.12° N, 126.6° E
14km
IDV (6 k)00
21973-03-18
11:06 UTC
6.52.04° N, 126.46° E
16km
IDV (34 k)00
31974-07-26
13:01 UTC
5.63.55° S, 128.87° E
28km
IDVII (31 k)00
41975-01-17
10:28 UTC
5.72.91° S, 126.09° E
12km
IDVI (270)00
51975-03-05
00:22 UTC
6.92.41° S, 126.09° E
18km
IDIX (1 k)00
61975-05-13
21:18 UTC
6.31.03° N, 126.03° E
22km
IDV (72 k)00
71975-11-18
04:06 UTC
5.52.22° S, 125.86° E
3km
IDVII (905)00
81976-05-30
02:56 UTC
5.51.01° S, 127.03° E
21km
IDV (19 k)00
91977-01-01
19:01 UTC
6.32.51° S, 126.59° E
9km
IDVI (6 k)00
101977-04-02
06:46 UTC
5.82.16° S, 125.33° E
18km
IDVII (208)00
111977-05-10
22:28 UTC
5.41.04° S, 127.35° E
44km
IDVI (1 k)00
121977-09-19
05:13 UTC
6.21.94° S, 126.61° E
30km
IDVII (79)00
131978-02-16
23:31 UTC
5.43.35° S, 128.78° E
15km
IDVII (47)00
141978-05-23
06:01 UTC
60.78° S, 127.31° E
42km
IDVII (8 k)00
151979-05-18
23:22 UTC
6.30.63° N, 125.98° E
37km
IDV (3 k)00
161979-10-22
05:58 UTC
6.50.63° N, 125.94° E
39km
IDV (272 k)00
171981-07-08
10:15 UTC
5.31.96° S, 124.72° E
19km
IDVII (80)00
181983-03-12
00:53 UTC
6.14.06° S, 127.88° E
22km
IDVII (3 k)00
191983-03-12
01:36 UTC
6.64.09° S, 127.86° E
31km
IDVII (72 k)00
201983-10-12
02:23 UTC
5.72.91° S, 128.16° E
31km
IDVII (32 k)00
211983-11-07
08:39 UTC
61.41° N, 128.15° E
25km
IDVII (49 k)00
221983-11-07
08:42 UTC
5.81.31° N, 128.18° E
25km
IDVII (43 k)00
231983-11-07
16:26 UTC
6.41.45° N, 128.21° E
24km
IDVIII (10 k)00
241983-11-07
20:12 UTC
5.71.46° N, 128.25° E
42km
IDVII (3)00
251984-01-04
02:42 UTC
5.71.47° N, 128.2° E
31km
IDVII (24 k)00
261984-06-26
01:11 UTC
5.71.26° S, 127.19° E
43km
IDVI (3 k)00
271985-01-21
00:55 UTC
6.70.95° S, 128.4° E
16km
IDIX (219)00
281985-04-13
03:00 UTC
6.91.61° N, 126.43° E
43km
IDVI (3 k)00
291986-01-03
09:43 UTC
6.10.97° S, 126.92° E
35km
IDVII (36)00
301986-04-10
02:21 UTC
6.10.94° S, 126.8° E
35km
IDVI (5 k)00
311986-07-09
23:10 UTC
6.71.94° N, 126.49° E
40km
IDV (374 k)00
321986-08-14
19:39 UTC
7.51.8° N, 126.48° E
30km
IDVI (29 k)00
331986-08-14
22:55 UTC
5.92.15° N, 127.01° E
39km
IDV (31 k)00
341986-08-16
17:19 UTC
6.41.91° N, 126.48° E
40km
IDV (23 k)00
351986-08-17
15:27 UTC
6.42.29° N, 127° E
35km
IDVI (2 k)00
361986-08-17
15:31 UTC
6.32.16° N, 127.14° E
34km
IDVI (12 k)00
371986-09-09
15:58 UTC
5.60.94° N, 127.72° E
30km
IDVII (39 k)00
381987-01-29
02:43 UTC
6.41.32° N, 126.22° E
45km
IDV (91 k)00
391987-02-08
17:48 UTC
6.21.62° N, 126.54° E
36km
IDV (36 k)00
401987-02-13
07:18 UTC
6.70.69° N, 126.16° E
57km
IDV (947 k)00
411987-04-09
00:48 UTC
6.21.23° N, 128.39° E
27km
IDVII (26 k)00
421987-09-03
01:15 UTC
5.32.91° S, 129.42° E
21km
IDVII (737)00
431987-11-27
00:02 UTC
6.10.2° S, 125° E
42km
IDV (23 k)00
441988-03-08
15:38 UTC
5.92.18° S, 125.29° E
32km
IDVII (46)00
451989-02-10
11:15 UTC
7.12.28° N, 126.68° E
46km
IDVI (35 k)00
461989-02-27
23:39 UTC
6.32.34° N, 127.97° E
37km
IDVIII (397)00
471990-08-25
15:47 UTC
6.30.54° N, 126.06° E
14km
IDV (121 k)00
481990-11-30
13:19 UTC
5.81.06° N, 123.96° E
32km
IDVII (32 k)00
491990-12-13
12:26 UTC
6.11.1° N, 123.96° E
36km
IDVII (50 k)00
501990-12-23
21:03 UTC
5.50.65° S, 127.38° E
38km
IDVII (757)00
511991-10-13
00:57 UTC
5.92.46° N, 127.75° E
28km
IDVII (4 k)00
521992-04-01
01:38 UTC
5.43.09° S, 129.09° E
37km
IDVI (74 k)00
531992-06-06
21:40 UTC
5.91.06° N, 124° E
18km
IDVI (53 k)00
541992-08-02
05:50 UTC
6.20.86° S, 127.61° E
20km
IDVIII (878)00
551992-09-26
22:15 UTC
6.51.3° N, 129.09° E
25km
IDVII (3 k)00
561993-01-19
15:17 UTC
5.62.13° S, 125.18° E
36km
IDVI (3 k)00
571993-12-09
04:32 UTC
6.90.49° N, 125.98° E
23km
IDV (1,866 k)00
581993-12-09
11:38 UTC
6.70.45° N, 125.92° E
16km
IDV (1,431 k)00
591994-01-21
02:24 UTC
6.91.04° N, 127.77° E
19km
IDIX (28 k)77
601994-10-08
21:44 UTC
6.81.21° S, 127.98° E
13km
IDVII (5 k)11tsunami
611994-10-13
05:04 UTC
6.41.19° S, 127.83° E
11km
IDVII (9 k)00
621995-02-13
08:41 UTC
5.91.32° S, 127.5° E
25km
IDVIII (236)00
631995-02-13
08:43 UTC
6.21.28° S, 127.45° E
21km
IDIX (13)00
641995-02-13
12:29 UTC
6.11.3° S, 127.43° E
22km
IDVIII (546)00
651995-02-13
13:06 UTC
5.71.33° S, 127.43° E
23km
IDVIII (61)00
661995-02-13
13:52 UTC
5.51.2° S, 127.4° E
37km
IDVII (524)00
671995-02-13
15:04 UTC
6.71.33° S, 127.49° E
19km
IDIX (1 k)00
681995-02-13
15:36 UTC
5.61.64° S, 127.48° E
25km
IDVII (6 k)00
691995-02-19
20:57 UTC
5.51.33° S, 127.66° E
19km
IDVII (7 k)00
701995-05-04
02:18 UTC
6.11.89° N, 128.5° E
24km
IDVIII (1 k)00
711995-06-28
21:14 UTC
5.81.55° S, 127.47° E
35km
IDVII (5 k)00
721996-12-30
19:41 UTC
64.03° S, 128.09° E
18km
IDVI (11 k)00
731997-06-24
23:04 UTC
6.31.87° S, 127.91° E
28km
IDVII (1 k)00
741998-10-28
16:25 UTC
6.50.85° N, 125.9° E
44km
IDV (981 k)00
751998-11-29
14:10 UTC
7.71.94° S, 124.82° E
21km
IDVIII (5 k)4141
761998-11-29
17:32 UTC
5.71.87° S, 124.6° E
30km
IDVII (3 k)00
771998-12-06
00:47 UTC
6.61.3° N, 126.21° E
44km
IDV (837 k)00
781998-12-26
15:39 UTC
5.91.38° S, 123.63° E
27km
IDVII (55 k)00
791999-03-01
08:51 UTC
5.72.9° S, 126.6° E
29km
IDVII (2 k)00
801999-12-12
23:24 UTC
5.72.88° S, 128.15° E
42km
IDVII (5 k)00
812000-05-04
04:21 UTC
7.51.14° S, 123.52° E
26km
IDVIII (17 k)4646tsunami
822000-05-05
05:24 UTC
5.71.23° S, 123.36° E
35km
IDVII (28 k)00
832000-08-28
15:05 UTC
6.84.09° S, 127.42° E
16km
IDVII (138)00
842000-08-28
19:29 UTC
6.44.19° S, 127.27° E
17km
IDVI (169)00
852000-10-01
19:03 UTC
5.74.11° S, 127.3° E
29km
IDVII (91)00
862001-02-24
07:23 UTC
71.33° N, 126.27° E
35km
IDVI (55 k)00
872001-03-19
05:52 UTC
6.54.08° S, 127.95° E
18km
IDVI (49 k)00
882001-03-19
05:56 UTC
5.84.03° S, 127.84° E
12km
IDV (247 k)00
892002-05-12
23:12 UTC
5.91.19° S, 127.1° E
41km
IDVI (6 k)00
902003-03-30
18:13 UTC
6.23.25° S, 127.47° E
35km
IDVII (25 k)00
912003-05-11
17:51 UTC
6.11.02° S, 126.92° E
43km
IDVII (4)00
922003-08-11
00:19 UTC
61.18° N, 128.2° E
35km
IDVII (50 k)00
932004-01-28
22:15 UTC
6.63.17° S, 127.28° E
14km
IDVIII (12)00
942004-03-09
05:56 UTC
5.62.13° S, 125.09° E
33km
IDVI (5 k)00
952005-11-01
21:13 UTC
5.73.61° S, 127.3° E
15km
IDVII (1 k)00
962005-11-13
10:24 UTC
5.93.12° S, 128.92° E
5km
IDVIII (2 k)00
972005-12-21
07:09 UTC
6.30.11° S, 124.67° E
18km
IDVI (5 k)00
982006-03-14
06:57 UTC
6.73.59° S, 127.2° E
30km
IDVIII (15 k)03landslide, tsunami
992006-05-19
14:44 UTC
6.30.21° S, 124.71° E
35km
IDVI (2 k)00
1002006-09-16
09:45 UTC
6.33.1° S, 129.41° E
17km
IDIX (59)00
1012007-01-11
14:31 UTC
63.66° S, 127.26° E
13km
IDVIII (750)00
1022007-01-21
11:27 UTC
7.51.12° N, 126.34° E
22km
IDVI (283 k)34
1032007-02-20
08:04 UTC
6.71.03° S, 126.97° E
12km
IDVII (2)00
1042007-02-20
14:25 UTC
61.03° S, 126.94° E
11km
IDV (48 k)00
1052007-02-21
02:19 UTC
5.50.95° S, 127.19° E
28km
IDVII (2 k)00
1062007-03-03
20:08 UTC
5.90° N, 126.78° E
39km
IDVI (1 k)00
1072007-05-29
09:36 UTC
61.08° S, 127.33° E
24km
IDVIII (13)00
1082007-05-29
09:42 UTC
5.51.07° S, 127.42° E
10km
IDVII (11)00
1092007-08-30
16:17 UTC
5.52.97° S, 129.32° E
23km
IDVII (19 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.