PAGER - M 5.8 - CELEBES SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Thursday, April 17th, 2014 at 04:38:17 UTC (12:38:17 local)Location: 4.5° N, 122.9° EDepth: 572kmEvent Id: USB000PNGZAlert Version: 2Created: 6 weeks, 1 day after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*1,228k*0000000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1983-07-143966.2V (63k)0
2005-02-05977.1III (15m)2
2002-03-052197.5VIII (12k)15

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IITabiauan2k
IIPalimbang5k
IIMabay3k
IIMaitum0
IITambilil5k
IIBanga59k
IIKoronadal126k
IIJolo101k
IISurallah31k
IIKansipati15k
IISebu22k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-03-12
12:39 UTC
5.54.19° N, 126.45° E
28km
IDVII (6 k)00
21974-06-02
15:59 UTC
5.52.81° N, 125.41° E
1km
IDVII (3 k)00
31976-08-16
16:11 UTC
86.29° N, 124.09° E
59km
PHVII (1,515 k)07079tsunami
41976-08-16
18:16 UTC
5.67.03° N, 123.66° E
44km
PHVI (94)00
51976-08-16
22:49 UTC
5.87.39° N, 123.37° E
15km
PHVIII (3 k)00
61976-08-17
04:19 UTC
7.17.26° N, 122.96° E
20km
PHIX (18 k)00
71976-08-17
05:18 UTC
5.56.46° N, 123.88° E
34km
PHVII (65)00
81976-08-17
07:53 UTC
5.67.31° N, 123.32° E
42km
PHVI (46 k)00
91976-09-25
03:30 UTC
5.76.84° N, 123.8° E
29km
PHVII (4 k)00
101976-10-22
14:51 UTC
5.67.08° N, 123.45° E
33km
PHVI (9 k)00
111978-04-04
06:56 UTC
5.96.86° N, 123.76° E
24km
PHVII (8 k)00
121978-10-01
13:23 UTC
5.86.68° N, 123.94° E
37km
PHVII (18 k)00
131978-12-12
11:44 UTC
6.87.38° N, 123.39° E
10km
PHIX (13 k)00
141979-02-19
00:35 UTC
5.55.66° N, 124.67° E
39km
PHVI (5 k)00
151980-01-02
20:58 UTC
6.95.99° N, 126.15° E
38km
PHVIII (14)00
161983-01-15
00:16 UTC
5.57.43° N, 124.55° E
17km
PHVII (5 k)00
171983-02-12
08:47 UTC
6.35.69° N, 126.3° E
30km
PHVI (5 k)00
181983-02-20
10:49 UTC
6.35.61° N, 126.23° E
30km
PHVI (3 k)00
191983-07-14
19:47 UTC
6.25.51° N, 126.37° E
43km
PHV (63 k)00
201984-11-27
23:34 UTC
5.87.62° N, 124.31° E
30km
PHVII (286 k)00
211985-03-05
13:40 UTC
6.11.17° N, 122.83° E
33km
IDVII (11 k)00
221985-03-18
19:49 UTC
6.57.78° N, 123.51° E
27km
PHVIII (113 k)02
231985-03-18
20:49 UTC
5.57.72° N, 123.72° E
41km
PHVI (283 k)00
241985-08-04
02:36 UTC
6.47.45° N, 123.42° E
22km
PHIX (5 k)00
251986-06-17
18:13 UTC
6.55.66° N, 125.26° E
71km
PHVII (42 k)00
261988-10-08
21:32 UTC
5.94.2° N, 126.46° E
37km
IDVII (34 k)00
271989-08-10
01:55 UTC
6.15.91° N, 124.38° E
33km
PHVII (20 k)00
281990-04-18
13:39 UTC
7.61.2° N, 122.82° E
37km
IDVIII (826)33
291990-04-19
01:05 UTC
5.91.31° N, 123.04° E
45km
IDVI (32 k)00
301990-04-19
12:40 UTC
6.31.09° N, 123.43° E
25km
IDVII (100 k)00
311990-04-26
15:40 UTC
5.91.08° N, 122.84° E
33km
IDVII (40 k)00
321990-05-15
18:31 UTC
61.17° N, 123.88° E
32km
IDVII (6 k)00
331990-09-09
22:29 UTC
5.71.19° N, 123.03° E
34km
IDVII (627)00
341990-12-13
12:26 UTC
6.11.1° N, 123.96° E
36km
IDVII (50 k)00
351991-05-19
00:58 UTC
6.91.16° N, 122.94° E
21km
IDVIII (2 k)00
361991-06-20
05:18 UTC
7.51.21° N, 122.77° E
33km
IDVIII (455)00
371991-06-20
06:27 UTC
5.61.17° N, 122.83° E
40km
IDVI (18 k)00
381991-06-21
16:17 UTC
5.41.09° N, 123.04° E
31km
IDVII (680)00
391991-08-08
02:09 UTC
6.61.04° N, 122.58° E
12km
IDIX (457)00
401991-11-01
02:51 UTC
5.91.19° N, 122.07° E
43km
IDVII (2 k)00
411992-04-16
08:00 UTC
6.11.2° N, 122.6° E
37km
IDVII (7 k)00
421992-10-29
07:29 UTC
6.26.79° N, 123.82° E
29km
PHVII (44 k)00
431993-10-16
10:52 UTC
5.87.49° N, 123.45° E
38km
PHVII (35 k)00
441994-05-13
20:12 UTC
5.98.01° N, 123.23° E
49km
PHVII (15 k)00
451995-11-08
16:01 UTC
5.91.27° N, 121.57° E
28km
IDVII (37 k)00
461996-04-02
18:50 UTC
5.93.08° N, 126.18° E
33km
IDV (33 k)00
471996-05-19
23:21 UTC
5.71.34° N, 122.72° E
31km
IDVI (3 k)00
481997-11-25
12:14 UTC
71.2° N, 122.49° E
24km
IDVIII (10 k)00
491998-09-28
19:23 UTC
6.13.86° N, 126.39° E
28km
IDVI (64 k)00
501999-03-04
08:52 UTC
7.15.42° N, 121.88° E
29km
PHVII (123 k)00
511999-05-18
19:52 UTC
5.95.65° N, 123.82° E
18km
PHV (75 k)00
521999-06-25
11:12 UTC
5.53.86° N, 126.38° E
17km
IDV (196 k)00
532000-09-08
22:41 UTC
5.47.17° N, 122.11° E
40km
PHVI (824 k)00
542002-03-05
21:16 UTC
7.56.02° N, 124.21° E
31km
PHVIII (12 k)1515landslide, tsunami
552002-03-08
18:27 UTC
5.85.76° N, 124.15° E
7km
PHV (178 k)00
562002-05-14
14:19 UTC
5.43.47° N, 125.44° E
39km
IDVI (52 k)00
572002-06-14
02:11 UTC
5.67.58° N, 123.97° E
44km
PHVI (314 k)00
582002-07-19
02:38 UTC
5.61.31° N, 122.78° E
34km
IDVI (889)00
592002-12-30
04:49 UTC
6.37.38° N, 123.26° E
17km
PHVIII (12 k)00
602005-02-05
12:23 UTC
7.15.28° N, 123.36° E
533km
PHIII (15,484 k)22
612005-02-15
14:42 UTC
6.54.74° N, 126.48° E
53km
IDVII (29 k)00
622006-03-31
21:14 UTC
6.13.8° N, 126.41° E
37km
IDVII (63 k)00
632006-06-16
02:56 UTC
5.51.28° N, 121.8° E
25km
IDVII (172)00
642007-02-12
12:45 UTC
6.15.56° N, 126.14° E
24km
PHVI (5 k)00
652007-03-31
19:37 UTC
5.61.27° N, 122.63° E
27km
IDVI (9 k)00
MMICityPopulation
IITabiauan2k
IIPalimbang5k
IIMaitum8k
IIMabay3k
IIMaitum0
IITambilil5k
IINew Panamao0
IIMaan3k
IITeresita3k
IISanto Nino10k
IIPanay4k
IIManuel Roxas4k
IIGuinsang-an4k
IIDahay8k
IIEsperanza2k
IIBusok3k
IISan Miguel4k
IIBanga59k
IILopez Jaena5k
IIKoronadal126k
IIKalang2k
IIMindupok3k
IILu-uk10k
IIKulay-Kulay3k
IIKarungdong7k
IIKanlagay2k
IIPunay6k
IIPananaw0
IIMahala2k
IILumuyon4k
IIKiamba11k
IITalipaw6k
IIPandakan3k
IIMaimbung4k
IIJolo101k
IISurallah31k
IILamian4k
IILambontong4k
IIPalian3k
IILambo6k
IITampakan9k
IIKipalbig5k
IIGuiong2k
IIAndalan3k
IISumisip4k
IISangay4k
IIPitogo3k
IIPang3k
IINalus4k
IIMalisbeng4k
IIMaguling2k
IIKambing2k
IITunggol3k
IITalipao0
IIKulaman3k
IIKansipati15k
IIBuadtasan2k
IIMarsada3k
IIPatikul0
IILumatil2k
IILumazal4k
IIKatubao4k
IIBinuang3k
IIMauboh3k
IISebu22k
IIPanabuan3k
IILangpas2k
IIAnuling10k
IISinolon3k
IIColongolo5k
IISan Vicente3k
IICarpenter5k
IIBangkal2k
IIKulase7k
IIT'boli0
IIBaunu' Timbangan2k
IIKajatian5k
IIBato-Bato4k
IISionogan3k
IIParaiso4k
IILunen2k
IILampari2k
IIBuansa3k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.