PAGER - M 5.9 - CELEBES SEA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Sunday, November 3rd, 2013 at 11:03:38 UTC (19:03:38 local)Location: 4.7° N, 123.3° EDepth: 532kmEvent Id: USB000KS1GAlert Version: 2Created: 5 weeks, 5 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*2,684k*0000000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are a mix of vulnerable and earthquake resistant construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1983-07-143486.2V (63k)0
2005-02-05697.1III (15m)2
2002-03-051797.5VIII (12k)15

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
IIIIsulan32k
IIIDumaguil2k
IIIPadada11k
IIIBuadtasan2k
IIIKalamansig13k
IIITabiauan2k
IIBanga59k
IIGeneral Santos680k
IIKoronadal126k
IIMalungun52k
IIPolomolok64k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-03-12
12:39 UTC
5.54.19° N, 126.45° E
28km
IDVII (6 k)00
21973-03-23
21:39 UTC
5.64.29° N, 126.76° E
28km
IDVII (73 k)00
31974-06-02
15:59 UTC
5.52.81° N, 125.41° E
1km
IDVII (3 k)00
41976-06-26
10:30 UTC
6.53.75° N, 126.7° E
7km
IDIX (12 k)00
51976-08-16
16:11 UTC
86.29° N, 124.09° E
59km
PHVII (1,515 k)07079tsunami
61976-08-16
18:16 UTC
5.67.03° N, 123.66° E
44km
PHVI (94)00
71976-08-16
22:49 UTC
5.87.39° N, 123.37° E
15km
PHVIII (3 k)00
81976-08-17
04:19 UTC
7.17.26° N, 122.96° E
20km
PHIX (18 k)00
91976-08-17
05:18 UTC
5.56.46° N, 123.88° E
34km
PHVII (65)00
101976-08-17
07:53 UTC
5.67.31° N, 123.32° E
42km
PHVI (46 k)00
111976-09-25
03:30 UTC
5.76.84° N, 123.8° E
29km
PHVII (4 k)00
121976-10-22
14:51 UTC
5.67.08° N, 123.45° E
33km
PHVI (9 k)00
131977-01-19
13:54 UTC
6.25.08° N, 126.53° E
44km
PHVI (10 k)00
141977-04-13
12:45 UTC
5.43.78° N, 126.75° E
45km
IDVI (57 k)00
151978-04-04
06:56 UTC
5.96.86° N, 123.76° E
24km
PHVII (8 k)00
161978-10-01
13:23 UTC
5.86.68° N, 123.94° E
37km
PHVII (18 k)00
171978-12-12
11:44 UTC
6.87.38° N, 123.39° E
10km
PHIX (13 k)00
181979-02-19
00:35 UTC
5.55.66° N, 124.67° E
39km
PHVI (5 k)00
191980-01-02
20:58 UTC
6.95.99° N, 126.15° E
38km
PHVIII (14)00
201980-01-04
06:22 UTC
5.96.15° N, 126.55° E
42km
PHVI (4 k)00
211982-09-24
22:51 UTC
5.95.98° N, 126.56° E
38km
PHVI (2 k)00
221983-01-15
00:16 UTC
5.57.43° N, 124.55° E
17km
PHVII (5 k)00
231983-02-12
08:47 UTC
6.35.69° N, 126.3° E
30km
PHVI (5 k)00
241983-02-20
10:49 UTC
6.35.61° N, 126.23° E
30km
PHVI (3 k)00
251983-03-15
19:58 UTC
6.55.36° N, 126.48° E
30km
PHV (151 k)00
261983-07-14
19:47 UTC
6.25.51° N, 126.37° E
43km
PHV (63 k)00
271983-08-21
08:34 UTC
5.83.73° N, 126.53° E
41km
IDVII (26 k)00
281984-11-27
23:34 UTC
5.87.62° N, 124.31° E
30km
PHVII (286 k)00
291985-03-05
13:40 UTC
6.11.17° N, 122.83° E
33km
IDVII (11 k)00
301985-03-18
19:49 UTC
6.57.78° N, 123.51° E
27km
PHVIII (113 k)02
311985-03-18
20:49 UTC
5.57.72° N, 123.72° E
41km
PHVI (283 k)00
321985-08-04
02:36 UTC
6.47.45° N, 123.42° E
22km
PHIX (5 k)00
331985-12-14
06:46 UTC
6.23.7° N, 126.57° E
33km
IDVII (79 k)00
341986-06-17
18:13 UTC
6.55.66° N, 125.26° E
71km
PHVII (42 k)00
351986-09-25
20:06 UTC
63.71° N, 126.7° E
36km
IDVII (54 k)00
361987-11-16
05:59 UTC
5.66.87° N, 126.2° E
22km
PHVIII (10)00
371988-02-17
23:39 UTC
5.63.84° N, 126.6° E
26km
IDVII (65 k)00
381988-10-08
21:32 UTC
5.94.2° N, 126.46° E
37km
IDVII (34 k)00
391989-02-13
12:15 UTC
5.64.98° N, 126.84° E
25km
IDVI (11 k)00
401989-08-10
01:55 UTC
6.15.91° N, 124.38° E
33km
PHVII (20 k)00
411990-04-18
13:39 UTC
7.61.2° N, 122.82° E
37km
IDVIII (826)33
421990-04-19
01:05 UTC
5.91.31° N, 123.04° E
45km
IDVI (32 k)00
431990-04-19
12:40 UTC
6.31.09° N, 123.43° E
25km
IDVII (100 k)00
441990-05-15
18:31 UTC
61.17° N, 123.88° E
32km
IDVII (6 k)00
451990-06-13
16:41 UTC
5.76.39° N, 126.36° E
79km
PHV (239 k)44
461990-09-09
22:29 UTC
5.71.19° N, 123.03° E
34km
IDVII (627)00
471991-05-19
00:58 UTC
6.91.16° N, 122.94° E
21km
IDVIII (2 k)00
481991-06-20
05:18 UTC
7.51.21° N, 122.77° E
33km
IDVIII (455)00
491991-06-20
06:27 UTC
5.61.17° N, 122.83° E
40km
IDVI (18 k)00
501991-06-21
16:17 UTC
5.41.09° N, 123.04° E
31km
IDVII (680)00
511992-04-16
08:00 UTC
6.11.2° N, 122.6° E
37km
IDVII (7 k)00
521992-10-29
07:29 UTC
6.26.79° N, 123.82° E
29km
PHVII (44 k)00
531993-10-16
10:52 UTC
5.87.49° N, 123.45° E
38km
PHVII (35 k)00
541994-05-13
20:12 UTC
5.98.01° N, 123.23° E
49km
PHVII (15 k)00
551995-07-29
08:01 UTC
5.74.25° N, 126.62° E
42km
IDVII (7 k)00
561996-04-02
18:50 UTC
5.93.08° N, 126.18° E
33km
IDV (33 k)00
571996-05-19
23:21 UTC
5.71.34° N, 122.72° E
31km
IDVI (3 k)00
581997-11-25
12:14 UTC
71.2° N, 122.49° E
24km
IDVIII (10 k)00
591998-09-02
08:37 UTC
6.85.46° N, 126.7° E
13km
PHV (2,461 k)00
601998-09-28
19:23 UTC
6.13.86° N, 126.39° E
28km
IDVI (64 k)00
611999-03-04
08:52 UTC
7.15.42° N, 121.88° E
29km
PHVII (123 k)00
621999-05-18
19:52 UTC
5.95.65° N, 123.82° E
18km
PHV (75 k)00
631999-06-25
11:12 UTC
5.53.86° N, 126.38° E
17km
IDV (196 k)00
642000-09-08
22:41 UTC
5.47.17° N, 122.11° E
40km
PHVI (824 k)00
652002-03-05
21:16 UTC
7.56.02° N, 124.21° E
31km
PHVIII (12 k)1515landslide, tsunami
662002-03-08
18:27 UTC
5.85.76° N, 124.15° E
7km
PHV (178 k)00
672002-05-14
14:19 UTC
5.43.47° N, 125.44° E
39km
IDVI (52 k)00
682002-06-14
02:11 UTC
5.67.58° N, 123.97° E
44km
PHVI (314 k)00
692002-07-19
02:38 UTC
5.61.31° N, 122.78° E
34km
IDVI (889)00
702002-12-30
04:49 UTC
6.37.38° N, 123.26° E
17km
PHVIII (12 k)00
712005-02-05
12:23 UTC
7.15.28° N, 123.36° E
533km
PHIII (15,484 k)22
722005-02-15
14:42 UTC
6.54.74° N, 126.48° E
53km
IDVII (29 k)00
732005-11-25
05:31 UTC
5.85.88° N, 126.34° E
42km
PHVI (2 k)00
742006-03-31
21:14 UTC
6.13.8° N, 126.41° E
37km
IDVII (63 k)00
752007-02-12
12:45 UTC
6.15.56° N, 126.14° E
24km
PHVI (5 k)00
762007-03-31
19:37 UTC
5.61.27° N, 122.63° E
27km
IDVI (9 k)00
MMICityPopulation
IIIIsulan32k
IIIDumaguil2k
IIIPadada11k
IIIBuadtasan2k
IIITabiauan2k
IIIKalamansig13k
IIILebak0
IIITeresita3k
IIISanto Nino10k
IIIManuel Roxas4k
IIIDahay8k
IIISan Miguel4k
IIIPanay4k
IIINorala13k
IIILiberty3k
IIILapuz3k
IIIKolumbug3k
IIIKudanding4k
IIIGuinsang-an4k
IIIEsperanza2k
IIILopez Jaena5k
IIINew Iloilo4k
IIIMaluso31k
IIIMaibu3k
IIIDansuli5k
IIIBuayan15k
IITamnag6k
IIMaindang3k
IIBlingkong5k
IIPalimbang5k
IIMaitum0
IITambilil5k
IIMaan3k
IIBantogon5k
IILimulan4k
IIIlaya3k
IISurallah31k
IIGlan Peidu4k
IIBaliton6k
IITuka4k
IIBusok3k
IILambontong4k
IISumisip4k
IISulit5k
IISan Vicente3k
IILamian4k
IILambo6k
IIColonia3k
IIBiwang2k
IIBanga59k
IIKapaya4k
IITantangan10k
IITampakan9k
IISilway 78k
IIRotunda3k
IIMaltana3k
IIKoronadal126k
IIKipalbig5k
IIKatangawan8k
IIGeneral Santos680k
IITinagacan5k
IIMabini3k
IILutayan13k
IITairan Camp3k
IIBatutitik3k
IIManga4k
IIMalungun52k
IIKiblawan4k
IISulop7k
IISangay4k
IIKulaman3k
IIT'boli0
IITaluya5k
IISinolon3k
IIPuloypuloy5k
IIGuiong2k
IIGlan24k
IIBurias4k
IITupi17k
IITuburan8k
IITipo-Tipo3k
IISapu Padidu10k
IIPolomolok64k
IIParaiso4k
IIPalian3k
IIKoronadal4k
IIKiupo3k
IIKapatan3k
IIGlamang4k
IITablas2k
IIPagalungan3k
IIDaguma4k
IIUpper Klinan4k
IIPolo3k
IIKlinan3k
IIConel9k
IICebuano5k
IICarpenter5k
IIKalang2k
IIAndalan3k
IIAlabel43k
IITelafas2k
IIBayasong3k
IIMalandag13k
IILumatil2k
IIDaliao2k
IITinoto4k
IISebu22k
IIMindupok3k
IIMalisbeng4k
IIMaitum8k
IIMaguling2k
IIMabay3k
IINalus4k
IILumuyon4k
IILumazal4k
IIKiamba11k
IIKatubao4k
IIColongolo5k
IIKablalan3k
IIPolonoling7k
IILunen2k
IILampari2k
IIPalkan4k
IIMalbang2k
IIMalapatan19k
IIMaasin6k
IILinan3k
IILibas2k
IIKamanga3k
IIKabalen5k
IIBucay Pait3k
IITango2k
IIPangyan5k
IILiberty2k
IILampitak2k
IILambayong11k
IITuyan4k
IILun Pequeno12k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.