PAGER - M 5.6 - OFF THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Sunday, October 13th, 2013 at 17:32:45 UTC (23:32:45 local)Location: 4° N, 95.9° EDepth: 46kmEvent Id: USB000KCCUAlert Version: 3Created: 5 weeks, 0 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
65
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
4
100 to 999 (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: GREEN
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
67
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
30
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
3
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)0
1 to 10 billion (RED)0
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*3,281k*755k123k00000
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1976-06-21835.8V (313k)0
2002-11-021307.2VIII (2k)3
2005-03-282518.6VIII (509k)1303

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VMeulaboh35k
IIISigli18k
IIIReuleuet40k
IIIBireun26k
IIIBanda Aceh251k
IIISinabang15k
IIILhokseumawe89k
IIISabang25k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11974-02-27
18:01 UTC
5.91.23° N, 97.56° E
40km
IDVII (74 k)00
21975-12-17
05:35 UTC
6.25.27° N, 95.8° E
15km
IDIX (2)00
31976-06-20
20:53 UTC
73.44° N, 96.25° E
15km
IDVII (3 k)00
41976-06-21
07:17 UTC
5.83.43° N, 96.38° E
18km
IDV (313 k)00
51976-09-07
04:40 UTC
5.54.72° N, 96.85° E
25km
IDVII (66 k)00
61976-10-30
09:24 UTC
5.63.57° N, 96.3° E
16km
IDV (302 k)00
71979-09-29
18:37 UTC
6.81.16° N, 94.17° E
37km
IDIV (61 k)00
81982-10-31
02:48 UTC
5.42.92° N, 96° E
43km
IDVI (15 k)00
91983-04-04
02:51 UTC
75.72° N, 94.69° E
94km
IDVII (314 k)00
101987-04-25
19:22 UTC
6.42.41° N, 98.91° E
8km
IDIX (15 k)22
111988-12-20
03:35 UTC
5.41.86° N, 97.03° E
29km
IDVII (343)00
121990-11-15
02:34 UTC
6.73.93° N, 97.39° E
12km
IDVIII (28 k)17landslide
131990-11-15
04:48 UTC
5.84.01° N, 97.3° E
45km
IDVII (59 k)00
141990-11-18
16:23 UTC
5.53.9° N, 97.2° E
30km
IDVII (4 k)00
151993-09-01
14:03 UTC
6.32.97° N, 96.07° E
33km
IDVII (50 k)00
161994-10-31
11:48 UTC
6.13.04° N, 96.19° E
30km
IDVII (4 k)00
171995-03-14
10:27 UTC
5.43.09° N, 95.85° E
30km
IDVI (8 k)00
181995-11-08
07:14 UTC
6.91.82° N, 95.02° E
19km
IDV (74 k)00
191995-11-22
13:27 UTC
5.83.11° N, 95.91° E
26km
IDVII (4 k)00
201996-10-10
15:21 UTC
6.23.52° N, 97.85° E
35km
IDVII (178 k)00
211997-06-11
19:12 UTC
5.52.9° N, 97.26° E
40km
IDVI (83 k)00
221997-07-07
11:19 UTC
5.51.02° N, 97.45° E
23km
IDVII (113 k)00
231997-07-07
11:24 UTC
5.81° N, 97.48° E
28km
IDVII (174 k)00
241997-08-20
07:15 UTC
64.32° N, 96.43° E
7km
IDVIII (8 k)00
251999-02-15
05:46 UTC
5.54.92° N, 95.76° E
15km
IDVII (347)00
262000-03-10
21:32 UTC
5.54.74° N, 95.9° E
11km
IDVII (731)00
272002-11-02
01:26 UTC
7.22.82° N, 96.09° E
32km
IDVIII (2 k)33
282002-11-02
09:46 UTC
6.32.94° N, 96.38° E
36km
IDVII (9 k)00
292002-11-13
15:53 UTC
5.52.98° N, 96.01° E
33km
IDVI (29 k)00
302003-01-22
02:58 UTC
5.74.5° N, 97.49° E
29km
IDVII (2 k)00
312003-07-21
19:21 UTC
5.66.7° N, 93.56° E
20km
INV (13 k)00
322004-12-26
00:58 UTC
93.27° N, 95.86° E
22km
IDIX (237 k)0227898landslide, tsunami
332004-12-26
01:21 UTC
6.16.34° N, 93.34° E
35km
INV (12 k)00
342004-12-26
04:00 UTC
5.56.86° N, 94.09° E
30km
INVII (553)00
352004-12-26
21:06 UTC
5.54.52° N, 96.33° E
10km
IDVII (2 k)00
362004-12-27
06:59 UTC
5.62.96° N, 95.51° E
28km
IDVII (1 k)00
372004-12-27
09:39 UTC
65.29° N, 94.59° E
35km
IDVI (103)00
382004-12-27
20:10 UTC
5.72.89° N, 95.57° E
9km
IDVI (18 k)00
392004-12-28
11:17 UTC
5.74.71° N, 95.17° E
36km
IDVI (33 k)00
402005-01-01
01:55 UTC
5.72.9° N, 95.56° E
26km
IDVII (18 k)00
412005-01-02
08:27 UTC
5.83.23° N, 95.44° E
8km
IDVI (108)00
422005-02-24
07:35 UTC
5.62.93° N, 95.66° E
30km
IDVII (4 k)00
432005-02-26
12:56 UTC
6.72.84° N, 95.5° E
27km
IDVIII (19 k)00
442005-03-17
23:20 UTC
5.74.87° N, 95.07° E
45km
IDVI (44 k)00
452005-03-28
16:09 UTC
8.62.05° N, 97.06° E
34km
IDVIII (509 k)13031303tsunami
462005-03-28
16:21 UTC
5.81.14° N, 97.04° E
30km
IDVII (15 k)00
472005-03-28
16:38 UTC
5.91.2° N, 97.46° E
20km
IDVIII (14 k)00
482005-03-28
16:44 UTC
5.52.08° N, 96.47° E
32km
IDVII (514)00
492005-03-28
19:02 UTC
5.81.03° N, 97.81° E
40km
IDVII (97 k)00
502005-03-28
23:37 UTC
5.62.89° N, 96.4° E
30km
IDVII (175)00
512005-03-29
05:16 UTC
5.92.67° N, 96.57° E
39km
IDVII (18 k)00
522005-03-30
01:13 UTC
5.51.77° N, 97.08° E
20km
IDVI (180)00
532005-03-30
16:19 UTC
6.22.95° N, 95.41° E
28km
IDIX (108)00
542005-03-30
17:29 UTC
5.62.92° N, 95.4° E
27km
IDVII (108)00
552005-03-31
07:23 UTC
5.81.72° N, 97.07° E
22km
IDVI (749)00
562005-04-03
03:10 UTC
6.21.97° N, 97.89° E
36km
IDVII (170 k)00
572005-04-11
06:11 UTC
62.13° N, 96.71° E
24km
IDVIII (834)00
582005-04-16
16:38 UTC
6.41.84° N, 97.62° E
31km
IDVII (80 k)00
592005-04-28
14:07 UTC
6.22.11° N, 96.76° E
22km
IDVIII (33)00
602005-05-19
01:54 UTC
6.91.97° N, 96.99° E
41km
IDVIII (22 k)00
612005-06-03
00:42 UTC
5.81.45° N, 97.11° E
19km
IDVIII (3 k)00
622005-06-08
06:28 UTC
62.16° N, 96.69° E
22km
IDVIII (155)00
632005-06-10
17:42 UTC
5.51.8° N, 97.08° E
27km
IDVII (494)00
642005-07-05
01:52 UTC
6.61.78° N, 97.05° E
21km
IDVIII (9 k)00
652005-07-11
14:36 UTC
5.51.28° N, 97.19° E
22km
IDVIII (313)00
662005-09-10
16:57 UTC
5.84.84° N, 95.01° E
41km
IDVI (44 k)00
672005-10-05
08:46 UTC
5.75.21° N, 95.54° E
20km
IDVIII (7)00
682005-10-08
04:30 UTC
5.61.99° N, 97.86° E
32km
IDVI (139 k)00
692005-10-11
15:05 UTC
5.94.79° N, 95.08° E
30km
IDVII (594)00
702005-10-16
19:03 UTC
5.72.03° N, 97.93° E
32km
IDVII (37 k)00
712005-11-04
17:44 UTC
5.51.24° N, 97.24° E
30km
IDVII (47 k)00
722005-11-19
14:10 UTC
6.32.14° N, 96.78° E
21km
IDVIII (1 k)00
732005-11-27
23:31 UTC
5.61.15° N, 97.24° E
24km
IDVII (80 k)00
742005-12-18
04:23 UTC
5.72.86° N, 95.92° E
21km
IDVIII (481)00
752006-01-31
19:15 UTC
5.92.62° N, 96.02° E
24km
IDVIII (5 k)00
762006-04-25
18:26 UTC
6.31.99° N, 96.97° E
21km
IDVIII (9 k)00
772006-07-27
11:16 UTC
6.31.71° N, 97.1° E
20km
IDVI (79 k)00
782006-07-30
01:28 UTC
5.61.46° N, 97.18° E
30km
IDVII (53 k)00
792006-08-11
20:54 UTC
6.22.39° N, 96.32° E
22km
IDIX (3 k)00
802006-12-17
21:10 UTC
5.84.82° N, 95.02° E
36km
IDVI (28 k)00
812007-03-07
10:53 UTC
5.91.98° N, 97.91° E
42km
IDVII (2 k)00
822007-04-07
09:51 UTC
6.12.91° N, 95.67° E
27km
IDVIII (1 k)00
832007-04-27
08:02 UTC
5.95.33° N, 94.61° E
30km
IDV (605 k)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.