PAGER - M 7.0 - NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Wednesday, June 16th, 2010 at 03:16:27 UTC (12:16:27 local)Location: 2.2° S, 136.5° EDepth: 18kmEvent Id: US2010XPAIAlert Version: 1Created: 14 weeks, 2 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Yellow alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. Some casualties and damage are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past yellow alerts have required a local or regional level response. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Indonesia.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)
 
2
1 to 9 (YELLOW)
 
24
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
52
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
20
1 to 10 thousand (RED)1
10 to 100 thousand (RED)0
100 thousand + (RED)0
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
3
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
28
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
51
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
17
1 to 10 billion (RED)1
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*---*895k*374k36k21k3k5k220
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are nonductile reinforced concrete frame and concrete/cinder block masonry construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1981-01-194006.6IX (1k)1300
1996-02-171478.2VIII (155k)108
2002-10-102637.5IX (7k)8

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires, and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VNabire44k
IVManokwari53k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-01-16
09:47 UTC
5.53.49° S, 135.59° E
35km
IDVII (2 k)00
21973-04-17
12:34 UTC
6.74.37° S, 134.21° E
14km
IDVII (3)00
31973-07-20
02:19 UTC
5.51.02° S, 136.35° E
33km
IDVII (354)00
41973-08-21
23:28 UTC
5.71.96° S, 139.31° E
33km
IDVII (5 k)00
51973-10-29
05:27 UTC
5.72.94° S, 139.34° E
41km
IDVII (1 k)00
61974-02-07
09:41 UTC
5.83.73° S, 134.04° E
8km
IDVIII (3)00
71974-03-31
06:47 UTC
5.62.13° S, 139.11° E
20km
IDVIII (368)00
81975-03-17
22:11 UTC
62.48° S, 138.38° E
31km
IDVII (9 k)00
91975-07-14
14:41 UTC
5.61.55° S, 138.05° E
16km
IDVII (579)00
101976-11-18
05:43 UTC
6.54.19° S, 135.12° E
4km
IDIX (1)00
111978-05-29
00:19 UTC
5.71.85° S, 139.09° E
8km
IDVII (6)00
121979-01-08
07:27 UTC
5.54.12° S, 135.99° E
23km
IDVII (2 k)00
131979-06-24
04:23 UTC
5.82.95° S, 139.87° E
19km
IDVIII (123)00
141979-09-12
05:17 UTC
7.51.69° S, 135.97° E
20km
IDIX (9 k)1515tsunami
151979-09-12
06:43 UTC
5.61.66° S, 136.22° E
24km
IDVII (13 k)00
161979-09-12
07:16 UTC
5.51.68° S, 135.9° E
45km
IDVI (2 k)00
171979-09-13
06:33 UTC
6.11.17° S, 136.43° E
18km
IDVIII (101)00
181979-09-19
12:53 UTC
5.51.79° S, 136.24° E
32km
IDVII (12 k)00
191979-10-16
10:04 UTC
5.41.11° S, 136.45° E
15km
IDVI (2 k)00
201979-10-17
23:29 UTC
61.17° S, 136.53° E
18km
IDVIII (1 k)00
211979-11-01
04:12 UTC
5.51.18° S, 136.56° E
10km
IDVIII (1)00
221979-11-16
18:10 UTC
6.11.95° S, 134.17° E
37km
IDVII (4 k)00
231979-11-21
10:24 UTC
5.83.35° S, 139.75° E
40km
IDVII (2 k)00
241981-01-19
15:11 UTC
6.64.52° S, 139.28° E
20km
IDIX (1 k)13001300
251981-03-30
17:04 UTC
5.82.2° S, 138.87° E
13km
IDVIII (479)00
261981-07-13
10:22 UTC
5.33.45° S, 134.8° E
34km
IDVII (12)00
271981-12-27
10:30 UTC
5.82.09° S, 139.79° E
8km
IDVI (137)00
281982-03-06
11:35 UTC
5.80.78° S, 136.27° E
37km
IDVII (1 k)00
291982-04-05
00:40 UTC
5.53.47° S, 139.75° E
33km
IDVII (2 k)00
301982-12-02
19:36 UTC
5.64.52° S, 138.96° E
44km
IDVI (24 k)00
311983-01-10
01:57 UTC
5.81.89° S, 133.68° E
13km
IDVIII (42)00
321984-03-29
13:55 UTC
5.81.69° S, 138.52° E
36km
IDVII (3 k)00
331984-05-29
18:54 UTC
5.61.62° S, 136.33° E
19km
IDVII (12)00
341984-05-29
22:07 UTC
5.41.63° S, 136.34° E
21km
IDVI (528)00
351985-03-21
18:39 UTC
5.53.28° S, 138.91° E
33km
IDVII (1 k)00
361985-04-08
19:15 UTC
64.06° S, 136.24° E
15km
IDVIII (2 k)00
371985-09-15
01:29 UTC
6.34.12° S, 136.29° E
11km
IDIX (40)1010
381985-09-15
02:42 UTC
6.34.06° S, 136.1° E
5km
IDIX (104)1010
391985-09-23
05:08 UTC
5.34.07° S, 136.36° E
10km
IDVII (49)00
401985-11-17
09:40 UTC
7.11.67° S, 134.94° E
10km
IDIX (28)00
411985-11-17
14:20 UTC
61.64° S, 134.43° E
28km
IDVII (3 k)00
421985-12-06
22:26 UTC
61.62° S, 134.92° E
20km
IDVI (113)00
431986-03-24
19:31 UTC
6.62.46° S, 138.72° E
24km
IDVIII (6 k)00
441986-04-20
07:03 UTC
6.72.41° S, 139.35° E
31km
IDVIII (9 k)00
451986-06-11
02:58 UTC
5.82.04° S, 139.25° E
1km
IDVIII (663)00
461987-01-04
13:22 UTC
5.92.4° S, 139.45° E
27km
IDVIII (9)00
471987-06-27
00:17 UTC
6.52.09° S, 138.19° E
22km
IDIX (255)00
481987-10-25
16:54 UTC
6.82.24° S, 138.41° E
6km
IDIX (2 k)00
491987-10-25
19:14 UTC
5.72.3° S, 138.12° E
33km
IDVII (1 k)00
501988-03-12
12:11 UTC
5.90.69° S, 133.53° E
28km
IDVII (3 k)00
511988-08-23
19:53 UTC
5.82.49° S, 138.9° E
22km
IDVII (37 k)00
521989-02-19
10:39 UTC
5.31.99° S, 138.94° E
26km
IDVII (17 k)00
531989-08-01
00:18 UTC
6.14.48° S, 138.98° E
11km
IDVIII (4 k)0120landslide
541989-09-04
05:20 UTC
6.34.26° S, 136.72° E
17km
IDIX (9)00
551989-09-15
16:40 UTC
5.43.03° S, 134.65° E
21km
IDVII (48)00
561989-11-25
07:49 UTC
62.18° S, 138.91° E
25km
IDVIII (1 k)00
571990-04-10
02:25 UTC
5.14.49° S, 136.73° E
33km
IDIV (24 k)00
581990-11-01
03:39 UTC
5.73.5° S, 139.4° E
38km
IDVII (3 k)00
591991-01-25
17:38 UTC
6.12.11° S, 139.06° E
28km
IDIX (189)00
601991-04-23
02:49 UTC
5.82.74° S, 134.48° E
12km
IDVIII (1 k)00
611992-05-26
16:28 UTC
5.53.28° S, 135.88° E
36km
IDVII (2 k)00
621993-05-12
13:06 UTC
5.53.84° S, 135.45° E
11km
IDVII (5 k)00
631993-06-12
18:26 UTC
6.14.36° S, 135.17° E
4km
IDVIII (17)00
641994-01-04
19:51 UTC
5.54.14° S, 135.13° E
22km
IDVII (2)00
651994-01-19
01:53 UTC
6.73.21° S, 136° E
23km
IDVIII (8 k)00
661994-04-13
22:22 UTC
6.43.17° S, 136° E
28km
IDVIII (4 k)00
671994-05-25
04:03 UTC
6.44.18° S, 135.52° E
15km
IDIX (6)00
681994-05-25
16:36 UTC
5.51.98° S, 138.82° E
26km
IDVII (25 k)00
691994-07-02
02:38 UTC
5.63.28° S, 136.08° E
38km
IDVII (727)00
701994-11-20
16:59 UTC
6.32.01° S, 135.96° E
17km
IDVII (141)00
711994-11-28
13:45 UTC
5.52.53° S, 138.69° E
33km
IDVII (606)00
721995-01-27
20:16 UTC
6.84.46° S, 134.45° E
26km
IDVII (3)00
731995-03-13
10:31 UTC
5.82.79° S, 134.41° E
17km
IDVIII (59)00
741995-03-19
18:34 UTC
6.14.23° S, 135.06° E
19km
IDVIII (69)00
751995-03-19
23:53 UTC
6.84.14° S, 135.12° E
27km
IDVIII (489)00
761995-03-22
13:37 UTC
5.64.06° S, 135.24° E
23km
IDVII (3 k)00
771995-07-03
12:15 UTC
5.53.73° S, 135.21° E
31km
IDVII (1 k)00
781995-07-18
14:35 UTC
5.83.87° S, 135.26° E
10km
IDVIII (968)00
791995-07-21
13:27 UTC
5.51.37° S, 137.98° E
29km
IDVII (752)00
801996-02-17
05:59 UTC
8.20.92° S, 136.98° E
36km
IDVIII (155 k)108166tsunami
811996-02-17
08:42 UTC
60.86° S, 136.64° E
26km
IDVII (450)00
821996-02-17
14:21 UTC
6.50.56° S, 135.81° E
21km
IDVIII (132)00
831996-02-17
20:17 UTC
6.50.88° S, 136.12° E
58km
IDVIII (2 k)00
841996-02-17
20:18 UTC
6.50.84° S, 136.07° E
39km
IDVIII (4 k)00
851996-02-18
00:22 UTC
5.80.62° S, 135.81° E
16km
IDVII (184)00
861996-02-18
02:25 UTC
6.41.36° S, 136.49° E
9km
IDVIII (465)00
871996-02-18
19:40 UTC
5.50.54° S, 135.65° E
24km
IDVII (989)00
881996-02-18
23:09 UTC
5.53.29° S, 139.74° E
32km
IDVII (2 k)00
891996-02-24
15:52 UTC
6.20.83° S, 137.38° E
15km
IDV (51 k)00
901996-05-11
09:35 UTC
5.83.37° S, 135.84° E
22km
IDVIII (49)00
911996-05-15
16:28 UTC
5.70.64° S, 135.78° E
22km
IDVII (9 k)00
921996-06-29
04:46 UTC
5.82.76° S, 139.25° E
31km
IDVII (7 k)00
931996-06-29
14:08 UTC
5.82.79° S, 139.27° E
28km
IDVII (6 k)00
941996-12-26
20:48 UTC
6.22.23° S, 138.93° E
28km
IDIX (87)00
951996-12-27
11:19 UTC
5.42.17° S, 138.96° E
23km
IDVII (16 k)00
961997-12-14
08:48 UTC
5.63.06° S, 136.15° E
37km
IDVII (4 k)00
971998-04-27
18:40 UTC
6.12.97° S, 136.27° E
29km
IDVIII (3 k)00
981998-07-29
18:00 UTC
6.72.71° S, 138.98° E
43km
IDVIII (2 k)00
991998-07-31
14:30 UTC
5.52.75° S, 139.16° E
32km
IDVII (2 k)00
1001999-05-16
15:25 UTC
6.32.6° S, 138.25° E
41km
IDVII (10 k)00
1011999-10-10
07:03 UTC
62.02° S, 134.23° E
10km
IDVIII (70)00
1021999-12-18
17:44 UTC
6.22.45° S, 139.76° E
18km
IDIX (288)00
1032000-07-16
11:38 UTC
5.74.13° S, 139.04° E
19km
IDVIII (328)00
1042000-08-12
10:26 UTC
5.93.08° S, 136.16° E
37km
IDVII (10 k)00
1052000-11-09
00:32 UTC
5.42.43° S, 140.11° E
5km
IDVII (218)00
1062001-10-03
11:23 UTC
5.63.49° S, 139.73° E
35km
IDVII (3 k)00
1072002-08-24
20:21 UTC
5.83.29° S, 135.71° E
14km
IDVIII (60)00
1082002-09-20
13:33 UTC
61.74° S, 134.17° E
9km
IDVIII (186)00
1092002-09-20
15:43 UTC
6.41.67° S, 134.2° E
24km
IDVIII (4 k)00
1102002-09-20
21:01 UTC
5.51.82° S, 134.21° E
38km
IDVII (620)00
1112002-10-10
10:50 UTC
7.51.7° S, 134.23° E
16km
IDIX (7 k)88landslide, liquefaction, tsunami
1122002-10-10
11:05 UTC
5.51.75° S, 134.29° E
35km
IDVII (408)00
1132002-10-10
12:27 UTC
5.51.48° S, 134.14° E
22km
IDVII (5 k)00
1142002-10-10
12:28 UTC
6.71.56° S, 134.03° E
36km
IDVIII (2 k)00
1152002-10-10
12:29 UTC
61.48° S, 134.03° E
16km
IDVIII (271)00
1162002-10-10
18:33 UTC
5.81.52° S, 134.12° E
28km
IDVII (12 k)00
1172002-12-11
03:49 UTC
6.23.8° S, 135.02° E
13km
IDIX (96)00
1182002-12-11
10:00 UTC
5.83.73° S, 135.16° E
20km
IDVIII (69)00
1192003-03-01
06:12 UTC
5.91.69° S, 134.34° E
30km
IDVII (5 k)00
1202003-03-15
14:05 UTC
5.93.9° S, 134.42° E
10km
IDVIII (2 k)00
1212003-04-25
16:56 UTC
5.64.06° S, 135.3° E
27km
IDVII (2 k)00
1222004-01-28
19:05 UTC
5.71.7° S, 139.01° E
20km
IDVI (3 k)00
1232004-02-05
21:05 UTC
73.62° S, 135.57° E
23km
IDVIII (33 k)3737fire
1242004-02-05
21:24 UTC
5.83.71° S, 135.35° E
15km
IDVIII (116)00
1252004-02-07
02:42 UTC
7.34.05° S, 135.05° E
20km
IDIX (719)00
1262004-02-08
08:58 UTC
6.73.73° S, 135.36° E
20km
IDIX (1 k)00
1272004-02-11
05:08 UTC
5.73.62° S, 135.61° E
32km
IDVII (3 k)00
1282004-02-11
05:28 UTC
5.63.66° S, 135.56° E
1km
IDVIII (3)00
1292004-10-06
22:30 UTC
6.10.73° S, 134.49° E
15km
IDV (127 k)00
1302004-11-26
02:25 UTC
7.13.61° S, 135.42° E
24km
IDVIII (32 k)3232fire
1312004-11-26
08:01 UTC
5.63.48° S, 135.48° E
10km
IDVIII (6)00
1322004-11-26
15:29 UTC
5.53.61° S, 135.47° E
19km
IDVIII (19)00
1332004-11-28
07:36 UTC
6.13.68° S, 135.46° E
21km
IDVIII (633)00
1342004-12-01
23:17 UTC
5.53.69° S, 135.6° E
7km
IDVII (419)11
1352004-12-02
03:32 UTC
5.63.46° S, 135.37° E
16km
IDVIII (181)00
1362004-12-02
03:45 UTC
5.73.39° S, 135.46° E
10km
IDVIII (5 k)00
1372004-12-26
19:15 UTC
5.71.51° S, 138.81° E
11km
IDVI (105)00
1382005-08-29
19:53 UTC
5.62.35° S, 138.26° E
40km
IDVI (9 k)00
1392006-05-24
10:11 UTC
5.72.25° S, 139.15° E
31km
IDVII (14 k)00
1402006-12-24
17:39 UTC
5.72.12° S, 139.04° E
29km
IDVII (21 k)00
1412007-01-22
04:33 UTC
5.92.53° S, 136.31° E
35km
IDVII (7 k)00
1422007-05-17
02:59 UTC
5.52.75° S, 136.75° E
23km
IDVII (2 k)00
1432007-06-16
21:52 UTC
5.73.08° S, 138.73° E
10km
IDVIII (135)00

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.