PAGER - M 6.3 - OFFSHORE CARABOBO, VENEZUELA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: YELLOW

Download Alert PDF What's this?Saturday, September 12th, 2009 at 20:06:24 UTC (15:36:24 local)Location: 10.7° N, 68° WDepth: 10kmEvent Id: US2009LLB2Alert Version: 1Created: 53 weeks, 5 days after earthquake.

Alert Information

Yellow alert level for economic losses. Some damage is possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Venezuela. Past events with this alert level have required a local or regional level response. Green alert level for shaking-related fatalities. There is a low likelihood of casualties.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	90
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	9
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	39
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	35
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	20
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	5
1 to 10 billion (RED)	1
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	---*	8,253k	7,468k	312k	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are unreinforced brick masonry and mud wall construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1975-04-05	201	6.3	VIII (50k)	3
1976-02-15	209	5.7	VIII (1k)	0
2006-08-04	306	5.2	VII (3)	0

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
VI	Puerto Cabello	174k
VI	Moron	44k
V	Mariara	105k
V	Guacara	152k
V	San Joaquin	42k
V	Tacarigua	39k
V	Valencia	1,385k
V	Caracas	1,816k
IV	Willemstad	125k
IV	Barquisimeto	809k
IV	Oranjestad	30k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1975-04-05 09:34 UTC	6.3	10.07° N, 69.67° W 23km	VE	VIII (50 k)	3	3
2	1976-02-15 15:26 UTC	5.7	9.95° N, 69.69° W 13km	VE	VIII (1 k)	0	0
3	1977-12-11 16:22 UTC	5.5	9.5° N, 69.56° W 10km	VE	VII (21)	0	0
4	1986-07-18 17:22 UTC	5.4	10.74° N, 69.42° W 8km	VE	VII (1 k)	0	1
5	1988-07-12 09:55 UTC	5.2	9.84° N, 71.31° W 23km	VE	VII (3 k)	0	0
6	1989-04-30 08:22 UTC	5.9	11.02° N, 68.27° W 20km	VE	VIII (190)	0	0
7	1991-08-17 06:18 UTC	5.5	10° N, 69.98° W 14km	VE	VII (3 k)	0	0
8	1995-12-29 13:01 UTC	5.7	9.96° N, 70.12° W 10km	VE	VIII (146)	0	0
9	1999-03-30 09:59 UTC	5.7	10.72° N, 70.4° W 11km	VE	VIII (111)	0	0
10	1999-12-02 01:33 UTC	5.5	10.8° N, 70.39° W 15km	VE	VII (597)	0	0
11	2006-08-04 13:41 UTC	5.2	9.97° N, 70.65° W 14km	VE	VII (3)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
VI	Puerto Cabello	174k
VI	Moron	44k
V	Mariara	105k
V	Guacara	152k
V	San Joaquin	42k
V	Tacarigua	39k
V	Valencia	1,385k
V	Guigue	72k
V	El Limon	148k
V	Turmero	345k
V	Palo Negro	129k
V	San Mateo	50k
V	Cagua	119k
V	Tinaquillo	82k
V	Catia La Mar	107k
V	La Victoria	87k
V	Villa de Cura	77k
V	Maiquetia	53k
V	La Guaira	25k
V	San Felipe	77k
V	Nirgua	30k
V	Las Tejerias	33k
V	Petare	365k
V	El Hatillo	58k
V	Baruta	244k
V	El Cafetal	80k
V	Chivacoa	46k
V	Carrizal	41k
V	Caracas	1,816k
V	San Juan de los Morros	88k
IV	San Antonio de Los Altos	64k
IV	Caraballeda	38k
IV	Ocumare del Tuy	166k
IV	Los Dos Caminos	58k
IV	Chacao	65k
IV	Charallave	129k
IV	Kralendijk	3k
IV	Dorp Tera Kora	1k
IV	San Carlos	77k
IV	Caucaguito	53k
IV	La Dolorita	57k
IV	Los Rastrojos	35k
IV	Cua	183k
IV	Dorp Rincon	2k
IV	Yaritagua	90k
IV	Newport	2k
IV	Santa Teresa	279k
IV	Guarenas	182k
IV	Willemstad	125k
IV	Araure	73k
IV	Acarigua	144k
IV	Guatire	192k
IV	Sint Michiel Liber	5k
IV	Villa Bruzual	28k
IV	Altagracia de Orituco	40k
IV	Dorp Antriol	3k
IV	Quibor	42k
IV	Calabozo	117k
IV	Barquisimeto	809k
IV	Dorp Soto	2k
IV	Barber	2k
IV	Carora	94k
IV	Coro	195k
IV	Punta Cardon	59k
IV	Punto Fijo	132k
IV	El Tocuyo	53k
IV	Valle de La Pascua	89k
IV	Angochi	29k
IV	Oranjestad	30k
IV	Babijn	41k
IV	Arasji	15k
IV	San Fernando Apure	79k
IV	Zaraza	41k
IV	Guanare	112k
IV	Alto Barinas	284k
IV	Trujillo	38k
IV	Valera	94k
IV	Barinitas	34k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.