PAGER - M 6.4 - PAKISTAN

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: RED

Download Alert PDFWhat's this?Tuesday, October 28th, 2008 at 23:09:58 UTC (04:09:58 local)Location: 30.7° N, 67.4° EDepth: 15kmEvent Id: US2008YSCSAlert Version: 1Created: 99 weeks, 2 days after earthquake.
Global Location

Alert Information

Red alert level for shaking-related fatalities. High casualties are probable and the disaster is likely widespread. Past events with this alert level have required a national or international level response. Yellow alert level for economic losses. Some damage is possible. Estimated economic losses are less than 1% of GDP of Pakistan.
Estimated FatalitiesFatality Alert Level: RED
ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: RED
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)0
1 to 9 (YELLOW)1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)
 
9
100 to 999 (ORANGE)
 
26
1 to 10 thousand (RED)
 
35
10 to 100 thousand (RED)
 
22
100 thousand + (RED)
 
6
Estimated Economic LossesEconomic Alert Level: YELLOW
ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: YELLOW
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)
 
12
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)
 
36
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)
 
38
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)
 
13
1 to 10 billion (RED)1
10 to 100 billion (RED)0
100 billion + (RED)0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli IntensityIII-IIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
Est. Population Exposure---*---*10,835k*2,490k375k81k49k5k0
Perceived ShakingNot FeltWeakLightModerateStrongVery StrongSevereViolentExtreme
Potential Structure DamageResistantnonenonenoneV. LightLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. Heavy
VulnerablenonenonenoneLightModerateModerate/HeavyHeavyV. HeavyV. Heavy
*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area
Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan
Population Exposure Map

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. The predominant vulnerable building types are unreinforced brick masonry and rubble/field stone masonry construction.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)Dist (km)MagMax MMI (#)Shaking Deaths
1975-10-031026.4IX (55)0
1990-03-042186IX (156)11
1997-02-271127.1VIII (139k)60

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.
MMICityPopulation
VIIAlik Ghund8k
VIPishin24k
VIKhadan Khak7k
VQuetta734k
VKot Malik69k
VHarnai11k
VChaman89k
IVKandahar391k
IVJacobabad171k
IVKandhkot88k
IVSadiqabad190k

(k = x1,000)

Historical Events Map
Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#Date/TimeMagLat, Lon, DepthCountryMax MMI (Exposed)DeathsSecondary Effects
ShakingTotal
11973-01-20
12:34 UTC
5.629.3° N, 68.63° E
17km
PKVIII (11)00
21975-03-24
05:33 UTC
5.529.62° N, 68.65° E
4km
PKVII (2 k)00
31975-10-03
05:14 UTC
6.730.24° N, 66.29° E
1km
AFIX (901)00
41975-10-03
17:31 UTC
6.430.39° N, 66.35° E
1km
PKIX (55)00
51977-07-13
08:09 UTC
5.529.87° N, 67.33° E
9km
PKVII (967)00
61978-05-06
11:16 UTC
5.929.8° N, 66.13° E
16km
PKVIII (103)00
71980-10-27
20:12 UTC
5.129.21° N, 70.14° E
33km
PKIV (373 k)00
81980-11-03
21:44 UTC
4.729.31° N, 70.13° E
35km
PKIV (121)00
91980-11-04
15:35 UTC
4.929.27° N, 70.19° E
35km
PKIV (186 k)00
101981-12-12
20:26 UTC
4.629.91° N, 67.08° E
35km
PKV (486 k)66
111982-03-24
14:27 UTC
4.728.24° N, 69.24° E
33km
PKIV (117 k)00
121982-05-01
17:42 UTC
5.231.59° N, 71.42° E
29km
PKV (3 k)00
131984-01-18
14:08 UTC
5.628.01° N, 65.75° E
10km
PKVIII (24)00
141985-05-06
03:04 UTC
5.930.85° N, 70.27° E
17km
PKVIII (2 k)00
151986-01-19
14:45 UTC
4.930.8° N, 70.26° E
24km
PKVII (720)00
161989-05-12
00:40 UTC
4.732.26° N, 71.1° E
33km
PKIV (33 k)00
171990-03-04
19:46 UTC
628.9° N, 66.36° E
5km
PKIX (156)1111
181990-06-17
04:51 UTC
6.127.41° N, 65.7° E
12km
PKVIII (735)66
191990-09-08
19:33 UTC
5.527.53° N, 66.1° E
34km
PKVII (17 k)00
201990-11-16
04:18 UTC
4.729.88° N, 70.58° E
33km
PKIV (601 k)00
211992-01-20
08:58 UTC
5.527.54° N, 66.09° E
20km
PKVII (5 k)00
221992-02-05
23:10 UTC
5.531.43° N, 66.86° E
17km
AFVII (2 k)00
231992-04-24
07:07 UTC
627.54° N, 66.1° E
20km
PKVIII (6 k)00
241992-08-28
00:50 UTC
5.529.21° N, 66.82° E
6km
PKVII (4 k)44
251993-11-16
15:52 UTC
5.630.8° N, 67.22° E
35km
PKVII (29 k)00
261994-06-03
22:40 UTC
5.928.72° N, 70.06° E
33km
PKVIII (486)00
271995-05-31
13:51 UTC
5.530.26° N, 67.96° E
18km
PKVII (1 k)00
281995-06-11
21:55 UTC
5.632.57° N, 69.69° E
29km
PKVII (77 k)00
291996-10-01
16:14 UTC
4.732.37° N, 70.6° E
35km
PKIII (1,255 k)00
301997-02-27
21:08 UTC
7.129.95° N, 68.19° E
24km
PKVIII (139 k)6057landslide
311997-02-27
21:30 UTC
629.99° N, 67.95° E
24km
PKVIII (2 k)00
321997-03-04
13:03 UTC
5.729.41° N, 68.75° E
38km
PKVII (11 k)00
331997-03-20
08:50 UTC
5.930.12° N, 68.02° E
27km
PKVIII (2 k)00
341997-08-24
13:15 UTC
5.630.13° N, 67.94° E
15km
PKVII (8 k)00
351999-06-26
21:54 UTC
5.530° N, 69.43° E
29km
PKVII (46 k)00
361999-07-12
03:42 UTC
5.630.03° N, 69.42° E
31km
PKVII (34 k)00
371999-07-28
13:17 UTC
5.529.95° N, 69.41° E
13km
PKVII (7 k)00
382000-06-04
17:52 UTC
628.72° N, 65.27° E
12km
PKVIII (445)00
392000-08-10
11:26 UTC
4.829.8° N, 69.94° E
15km
PKVI (2 k)00
402002-07-13
20:06 UTC
5.730.66° N, 69.87° E
16km
PKVIII (3 k)00
412004-05-08
20:11 UTC
4.530.17° N, 67.07° E
35km
PKV (914 k)11
422004-07-18
08:31 UTC
5.233.34° N, 69.48° E
6km
AFVII (2 k)22
432005-03-02
11:12 UTC
4.930.38° N, 68.04° E
51km
PKV (53 k)00
442006-01-05
14:47 UTC
4.731.81° N, 70.29° E
10km
PKV (59 k)00
452006-10-09
05:12 UTC
4.430.94° N, 66.54° E
10km
PKVI (920)00
MMICityPopulation
VIIAlik Ghund8k
VIPishin24k
VIKhadan Khak7k
VQuetta734k
VKot Malik69k
VHarnai11k
VMach17k
VChaman89k
VLoralai38k
VMastung29k
VSibi64k
VDadhar15k
IVDuki6k
IVBhag15k
IVKalat-i-Ghilzai12k
IVZhob51k
IVNushki28k
IVKohlu11k
IVKalat27k
IVDera Bugti18k
IVSurab13k
IVZarghun Shahr14k
IVSohbatpur9k
IVBarkhan9k
IVWana2k
IVKandahar391k
IVUsta Muhammad44k
IVJacobabad171k
IVSangin14k
IVMehrabpur35k
IVGereshk44k
IVThul34k
IVKharan31k
IVTangwani9k
IVZareh Sharan7k
IVUruzgan13k
IVKandhkot88k
IVKashmor34k
IVGhauspur30k
IVRojhan13k
IVRajanpur51k
IVDalbandin15k
IVUbauro23k
IVSadiqabad190k
IVMiram Shah3k
IVGulishah Kach1k

(k = x1,000)


PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.