PAGER - M 4.5 - 0.5 mi W of San Bernardino, CA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Friday, January 9th, 2009 at 03:49:46 UTC (20:49:46 local)Location: 34.1° N, 117.3° WDepth: 14kmEvent Id: CI10370141Alert Version: 1Created: 89 weeks, 0 days after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	100
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	0
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	90
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	9
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		369k*	13,039k*	2,028k	1,144k	27k	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are highly resistant to earthquake shaking, though some vulnerable structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1989-01-19	130	5.2	VI (14k)	0
1994-01-17	117	6.7	IX (181k)	33
2003-12-22	382	6.6	VII (213)	2

Recent earthquakes in this area have caused secondary hazards such as landslides and liquefaction that might have contributed to losses.

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
V	San Bernardino	202k
V	Colton	52k
V	Grand Terrace	13k
V	Highgrove	4k
V	Bloomington	22k
V	Highland	51k
V	Riverside	298k
III	Los Angeles	3,695k
III	Anaheim	328k
III	Santa Ana	343k
II	Long Beach	483k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1973-02-21 14:45 UTC	5.9	34.06° N, 119.05° W 6km	US	VIII (4 k)	0	0
2	1978-05-05 21:03 UTC	5.5	32.22° N, 115.32° W 5km	MX	VIII (97)	0	0
3	1978-08-13 22:54 UTC	5.8	34.39° N, 119.64° W 8km	US	VIII (40 k)	0	0
4	1978-10-04 16:42 UTC	5.4	37.39° N, 118.69° W 8km	US	VI (598)	0	0
5	1979-03-15 21:07 UTC	5.5	34.2° N, 116.53° W 15km	US	VII (744)	0	0
6	1979-10-15 23:17 UTC	6.5	32.82° N, 115.64° W 9km	US	IX (3 k)	0	0
7	1979-10-16 05:49 UTC	5.6	33.02° N, 115.57° W 5km	US	VIII (611)	0	0
8	1979-10-16 06:19 UTC	5.1	32.73° N, 115.76° W 10km	US	VII (77)	0	0
9	1979-10-16 06:58 UTC	5.6	32.95° N, 115.62° W 10km	US	VIII (287)	0	0
10	1979-10-16 23:16 UTC	5.5	32.92° N, 115.55° W 4km	US	VIII (40)	0	0
11	1980-02-25 10:47 UTC	5.6	33.52° N, 116.55° W 6km	US	VII (847)	0	0
12	1980-05-25 19:44 UTC	5.9	37.38° N, 118.84° W 4km	US	VII (2)	0	0	landslide
13	1980-05-25 20:35 UTC	5.9	37.44° N, 118.96° W 2km	US	VI (6 k)	0	0
14	1980-05-27 14:50 UTC	5.9	37.42° N, 118.8° W 1km	US	VIII (3)	0	0
15	1980-06-09 03:28 UTC	6.3	32.27° N, 114.91° W 5km	MX	IX (336)	1	1
16	1981-04-26 12:09 UTC	5.9	33.12° N, 115.64° W 1km	US	VIII (11)	0	0
17	1981-09-04 15:50 UTC	5.8	33.9° N, 119.03° W 15km	US	VI (13 k)	0	0
18	1983-05-02 23:42 UTC	6.3	36.22° N, 120.3° W 10km	US	IX (29)	0	0
19	1983-05-02 23:46 UTC	5.7	36.23° N, 120.29° W 8km	US	VIII (1 k)	0	0
20	1983-07-09 07:40 UTC	5.1	36.17° N, 120.37° W 1km	US	VII (10 k)	0	0
21	1983-07-22 02:39 UTC	5.7	36.2° N, 120.34° W 7km	US	VII (1 k)	0	0
22	1984-11-23 18:08 UTC	5.8	37.34° N, 118.51° W 15km	US	VIII (8 k)	0	0
23	1984-11-23 19:12 UTC	5.5	37.44° N, 118.64° W 0km	US	VII (381)	0	0
24	1984-11-26 16:21 UTC	5.1	37.29° N, 118.76° W 10km	US	V (17 k)	0	0	landslide
25	1985-08-04 12:01 UTC	6.1	36.14° N, 120.11° W 15km	US	IX (713)	0	0
26	1986-07-08 09:20 UTC	6	33.97° N, 116.78° W 12km	US	VIII (8 k)	0	0	landslide
27	1986-07-13 13:47 UTC	5.8	33.05° N, 117.85° W 2km	US	V (9,528 k)	0	1	landslide
28	1986-07-20 14:29 UTC	5.8	37.5° N, 118.45° W 15km	US	VIII (9)	0	0
29	1986-07-21 14:42 UTC	6.2	37.5° N, 118.44° W 10km	US	VIII (375)	0	0
30	1986-07-21 14:51 UTC	5.7	37.5° N, 118.37° W 9km	US	VIII (270)	0	0
31	1986-07-31 07:22 UTC	5.5	37.46° N, 118.4° W 15km	US	VII (210)	0	0
32	1987-10-01 14:42 UTC	5.9	34.06° N, 118.13° W 14km	US	VIII (20 k)	8	8
33	1987-10-04 10:59 UTC	5.2	34.02° N, 118.14° W 11km	US	VII (453 k)	0	1
34	1987-11-24 01:54 UTC	6	33.22° N, 115.79° W 15km	US	VIII (250)	0	2
35	1987-11-24 13:15 UTC	6.5	33.07° N, 115.95° W 2km	US	IX (599)	0	0
36	1988-02-11 15:25 UTC	4.8	34.08° N, 118.05° W 12km	US	VII (11 k)	0	1
37	1988-12-03 11:38 UTC	5	34.15° N, 118.13° W 13km	US	VI (1,090 k)	0	0
38	1989-01-19 06:53 UTC	5.2	33.91° N, 118.7° W 9km	US	VI (14 k)	0	0
39	1990-02-28 23:43 UTC	5.7	34.14° N, 117.75° W 3km	US	VIII (12 k)	0	0
40	1991-06-28 14:43 UTC	5.6	34.24° N, 118.01° W 11km	US	VII (8 k)	1	1
41	1992-04-23 04:50 UTC	6.2	33.87° N, 116.52° W 4km	US	VIII (16 k)	0	0
42	1992-06-28 11:57 UTC	7.3	34.18° N, 116.53° W 11km	US	IX (2 k)	1	1
43	1992-06-28 15:05 UTC	6.5	34.29° N, 116.82° W 12km	US	IX (2 k)	0	0	landslide
44	1992-06-29 10:14 UTC	5.7	36.77° N, 116.32° W 11km	US	VIII (127)	0	0
45	1992-06-29 16:01 UTC	5.5	33.82° N, 116.44° W 15km	US	VIII (8 k)	0	0
46	1992-07-11 18:14 UTC	5.7	34.96° N, 118.19° W 15km	US	VIII (568)	0	0
47	1992-11-27 16:00 UTC	5.6	34.23° N, 117.01° W 5km	US	VII (4 k)	0	0
48	1993-05-17 23:20 UTC	6.1	37.15° N, 117.82° W 10km	US	VIII (6)	0	0
49	1994-01-17 12:30 UTC	6.7	34.16° N, 118.58° W 11km	US	IX (181 k)	33	33	landslide, liquefaction
50	1994-01-17 23:33 UTC	5.8	34.27° N, 118.79° W 8km	US	VIII (70 k)	0	0
51	1994-01-18 00:43 UTC	5.5	34.26° N, 118.89° W 17km	US	VII (97 k)	0	0
52	1995-09-20 23:27 UTC	5.5	35.63° N, 117.73° W 15km	US	VIII (852)	0	0
53	1999-05-15 13:22 UTC	5.5	37.45° N, 118.8° W 1km	US	VII (4)	0	0
54	1999-10-16 09:46 UTC	7.1	34.52° N, 116.44° W 5km	US	IX (17 k)	0	0
55	1999-10-16 09:59 UTC	5.8	34.56° N, 116.79° W 9km	US	VIII (19)	0	0
56	1999-10-16 12:57 UTC	5.7	34.27° N, 116.23° W 12km	US	VIII (201)	0	0
57	2001-12-08 23:36 UTC	5.7	32.05° N, 114.9° W 9km	MX	VIII (72)	0	0
58	2002-02-22 19:32 UTC	5.5	32.38° N, 115.19° W 9km	MX	VIII (8 k)	0	0
59	2003-12-22 19:15 UTC	6.6	35.62° N, 121.07° W 16km	US	VII (213)	2	2	landslide, liquefaction
60	2004-09-28 17:15 UTC	6	35.75° N, 120.32° W 5km	US	VII (160)	0	0
61	2005-06-16 20:53 UTC	4.9	33.95° N, 117.05° W 18km	US	VI (63 k)	0	0

MMI	City	Population
V	San Bernardino	202k
V	Colton	52k
V	Grand Terrace	13k
V	Highgrove	4k
V	Bloomington	22k
V	Highland	51k
V	Muscoy	10k
V	Rialto	102k
V	Rubidoux	32k
V	Riverside	298k
V	Sunnyslope	5k
V	Fontana	169k
V	Loma Linda	21k
V	Mentone	9k
V	Redlands	70k
V	Moreno Valley	169k
IV	Glen Avon	16k
IV	Crestline	11k
IV	Woodcrest	9k
IV	Lakeview	2k
IV	Pedley	13k
IV	Perris	46k
IV	Lake Arrowhead	11k
IV	Mira Loma	19k
IV	Nuevo	5k
IV	Rancho Cucamonga	169k
IV	Canyon Lake	12k
IV	San Jacinto	29k
IV	Running Springs	6k
IV	Corona	153k
IV	Romoland	3k
IV	Wrightwood	4k
IV	Hemet	69k
IV	Hesperia	74k
IV	San Antonio Heights	3k
IV	Sun City	20k
IV	Upland	74k
IV	Norco	27k
IV	Montclair	36k
IV	Winchester	2k
IV	Calimesa	8k
IV	El Cerrito	5k
IV	Ontario	173k
IV	Claremont	35k
IV	Walnut	32k
IV	Quail Valley	2k
IV	Home Gardens	11k
IV	West Covina	110k
IV	Yucaipa	50k
IV	Mountain View Acres	3k
IV	East Hemet	14k
IV	Sedco Hills	3k
IV	Homeland	4k
IV	Pomona	156k
IV	Big Bear City	6k
IV	Valle Vista	12k
IV	Murrieta Hot Springs	4k
IV	Victorville	84k
IV	La Verne	34k
IV	Lake Elsinore	41k
IV	Lakeland Village	6k
III	Beaumont	19k
III	Valinda	24k
III	Murrieta	89k
III	La Puente	43k
III	Big Bear Lake	6k
III	Chino	75k
III	South San Jose Hills	22k
III	Willowbrook	35k
III	Covina	49k
III	Baldwin Park	81k
III	Compton	97k
III	Lynwood	72k
III	West Puente Valley	24k
III	Banning	30k
III	Los Serranos	7k
III	Citrus	11k
III	Diamond Bar	59k
III	Charter Oak	9k
III	Cherry Valley	6k
III	Chino Hills	67k
III	Apple Valley	64k
III	Avocado Heights	16k
III	Irwindale	2k
III	Yorba Linda	65k
III	Hacienda Heights	54k
III	Azusa	48k
III	Los Angeles	3,695k
III	East Compton	10k
III	Glendora	52k
III	San Dimas	36k
III	South Gate	100k
III	Adelanto	18k
III	Wildomar	16k
III	South Whittier	59k
III	Whittier	86k
III	Huntington Park	64k
III	Rowland Heights	52k
III	Santa Fe Springs	16k
III	Temecula	85k
III	Walnut Park	17k
III	Placentia	49k
III	West Compton	6k
III	Glendale	195k
III	Palm Desert	49k
III	Cudahy	26k
III	Paramount	57k
III	El Monte	125k
III	Indian Wells	4k
III	Norwalk	109k
III	North Glendale	203k
III	Villa Park	6k
III	La Habra Heights	6k
III	Bellflower	76k
III	Downey	112k
III	Pico Rivera	66k
III	Westminster	90k
III	South El Monte	22k
III	Bell	38k
III	Bradbury	1k
III	Duarte	23k
III	Maywood	29k
III	Montebello	64k
III	Cabazon	3k
III	La Mirada	50k
III	Rossmoor	11k
III	Artesia	17k
III	East La Mirada	10k
III	Belvedere	2k
III	Bermuda Dunes	7k
III	Lakewood	82k
III	North El Monte	4k
III	Orange	129k
III	Rancho Mirage	17k
III	East Los Angeles	125k
III	Mayflower Village	5k
III	Rosemead	56k
III	Cerritos	53k
III	Burbank	105k
III	Los Alamitos	12k
III	Temple City	38k
III	West Athens	9k
III	Buena Park	79k
III	La Canada Flintridge	21k
III	Mecca	7k
III	La Palma	16k
III	Westmont	32k
III	Arcadia	57k
III	East San Gabriel	16k
III	Hawaiian Gardens	16k
III	Monrovia	38k
III	South Pasadena	25k
III	Monterey Park	63k
III	Cypress	47k
III	Gardena	61k
III	La Habra	60k
III	Brea	40k
III	Alhambra	88k
III	South San Gabriel	8k
III	Bell Gardens	46k
III	Commerce	14k
III	Anaheim	328k
III	Fountain Valley	56k
III	San Gabriel	42k
III	Garden Grove	167k
III	Indio	66k
III	Tustin	69k
III	Hollywood	168k
III	Sierra Madre	11k
III	Pasadena	145k
III	Altadena	43k
III	Santa Ana	343k
III	San Marino	13k
III	North Tustin	24k
III	East Pasadena	6k
III	Signal Hill	11k
II	Carson	96k
II	West Carson	22k
II	Palm Springs	43k
II	West Hollywood	37k
II	Beverly Hills	35k
II	Inglewood	116k
II	Lennox	23k
II	San Fernando	25k
II	Alondra Park	8k
II	Fullerton	135k
II	Hawthorne	87k
II	Thousand Palms	6k
II	La Quinta	38k
II	Culver City	40k
II	Foothill Ranch	12k
II	Cathedral City	53k
II	Coachella	31k
II	Del Aire	10k
II	Lawndale	33k
II	Seal Beach	24k
II	Trabuco Canyon	3k
II	Morongo Valley	2k
II	Torrance	145k
II	Portola Hills	9k
II	Huntington Beach	196k
II	Stanton	38k
II	Long Beach	483k
II	Irvine	189k
II	Ladera Heights	7k
II	Rancho Santa Margarita	51k
II	Costa Mesa	109k
II	Lomita	21k
II	Newport Beach	79k
II	Westwood	2k
II	Desert Hot Springs	19k
II	Redondo Beach	68k
II	Lake Forest	77k
II	Manhattan Beach	37k
II	Rolling Hills Estates	8k
II	Rainbow	2k
II	El Segundo	17k
II	Lake Los Angeles	14k
II	Palos Verdes Estates	14k
II	Mission Viejo	96k
II	Marina del Rey	9k
II	Laguna Woods	20k
II	Rolling Hills	2k
II	Las Flores	6k
II	Aliso Viejo	41k
II	Coto De Caza	19k
II	Laguna Hills	31k
II	Littlerock	1k
II	San Joaquin Hills	3k
II	Santa Monica	88k
II	Barstow	21k
II	Hermosa Beach	20k
II	Barstow Heights	24k
II	Laguna Niguel	66k
II	Yucca Valley	19k
II	Lenwood	3k
II	Laguna Beach	24k
II	Santa Clarita	169k
II	Dana Point	36k
II	Rancho Palos Verdes	43k
II	San Clemente	62k
II	Twentynine Palms	23k
II	Vincent	15k
II	Acton	3k
II	Palmdale	135k
I	San Juan Capistrano	35k
I	Desert View Highlands	2k
I	Joshua Tree	4k
I	Fallbrook	34k
I	Quartz Hill	10k
I	Lancaster	130k
I	Bonsall	5k
I	Rosamond	19k
I	Avalon	3k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.